Firefly AB (Sweden) Price Prediction

FIRE Stock  SEK 192.00  0.20  0.10%   
At this time, the value of RSI of Firefly AB's share price is approaching 46. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Firefly AB, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 46

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Firefly AB's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Firefly AB, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Firefly AB hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Firefly AB from the perspective of Firefly AB response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Firefly AB to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Firefly because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Firefly AB after-hype prediction price

    
  SEK 192.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Firefly AB Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
184.54185.88211.20
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
189.08190.42191.76
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
185.15191.20197.25
Details

Firefly AB After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Firefly AB at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Firefly AB or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Firefly AB, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Firefly AB Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Firefly AB's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Firefly AB's historical news coverage. Firefly AB's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 190.66 and 193.34, respectively. We have considered Firefly AB's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
192.00
190.66
Downside
192.00
After-hype Price
193.34
Upside
Firefly AB is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Firefly AB is based on 3 months time horizon.

Firefly AB Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Firefly AB is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Firefly AB backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Firefly AB, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.03 
1.33
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
192.00
192.00
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Firefly AB Hype Timeline

Firefly AB is currently traded for 192.00on Stockholm Exchange of Sweden. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Firefly is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.03%. %. The volatility of related hype on Firefly AB is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 192.00. About 67.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of Firefly AB was currently reported as 17.18. The company last dividend was issued on the 27th of April 2022. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in a few days.
Check out Firefly AB Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Firefly AB Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Firefly AB's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Firefly AB's future price movements. Getting to know how Firefly AB's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Firefly AB may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
SESScandinavian Enviro Systems 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.07) 5.13 (5.95) 18.11 
EOLU-BEolus Vind AB 0.00 0 per month 2.13  0.01  4.66 (3.43) 15.35 
SALT-BSaltX Technology Holding 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.13) 7.59 (5.97) 21.42 
INISS-BInission AB 0.00 0 per month 1.07  0.19  2.66 (2.32) 8.85 
BYGGPBygg Partner i 0.00 0 per month 3.13  0.10  6.47 (4.26) 22.80 
CNCJO-BConcejo AB 0.00 0 per month 1.67 (0.02) 3.70 (2.91) 22.15 
CARECareium AB 0.00 0 per month 2.55 (0.02) 3.93 (3.41) 29.19 
ELTELEltel AB 0.00 0 per month 1.53  0.03  2.65 (1.95) 11.10 
VSSAB-BViking Supply Ships 0.00 0 per month 2.14  0.02  6.14 (4.13) 14.26 
PROF-BProfilGruppen AB 0.00 0 per month 1.57 (0.01) 2.64 (2.52) 8.31 

Firefly AB Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Firefly price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Firefly using various technical indicators. When you analyze Firefly charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Firefly AB Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Firefly AB stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Firefly AB, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Firefly AB based on analysis of Firefly AB hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Firefly AB's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Firefly AB's related companies.

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Additional Tools for Firefly Stock Analysis

When running Firefly AB's price analysis, check to measure Firefly AB's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Firefly AB is operating at the current time. Most of Firefly AB's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Firefly AB's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Firefly AB's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Firefly AB to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.