Fnac Darty (France) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 26.72
| FNAC Stock | EUR 26.85 0.30 1.13% |
Fnac |
Fnac Darty Target Price Odds to finish below 26.72
The tendency of Fnac Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 26.72 or more in 90 days |
| 26.85 | 90 days | 26.72 | about 23.52 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fnac Darty to drop to € 26.72 or more in 90 days from now is about 23.52 (This Fnac Darty SA probability density function shows the probability of Fnac Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Fnac Darty SA price to stay between € 26.72 and its current price of €26.85 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.79 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Fnac Darty has a beta of 0.97. This usually indicates Fnac Darty SA market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Fnac Darty is expected to follow. Additionally Fnac Darty SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Fnac Darty Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Fnac Darty
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fnac Darty SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Fnac Darty Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fnac Darty is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fnac Darty's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fnac Darty SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fnac Darty within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.23 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.97 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.48 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
Fnac Darty Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Fnac Darty for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fnac Darty SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Fnac Darty SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Fnac Darty SA has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Fnac Darty SA has accumulated 1.81 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 158.3, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Fnac Darty SA has a current ratio of 0.84, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Fnac Darty until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Fnac Darty's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Fnac Darty SA sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Fnac to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Fnac Darty's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 37.0% of Fnac Darty shares are held by company insiders |
Fnac Darty Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Fnac Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Fnac Darty's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fnac Darty's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 26.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 951 M |
Fnac Darty Technical Analysis
Fnac Darty's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Fnac Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Fnac Darty SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Fnac Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Fnac Darty Predictive Forecast Models
Fnac Darty's time-series forecasting models is one of many Fnac Darty's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Fnac Darty's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Fnac Darty SA
Checking the ongoing alerts about Fnac Darty for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Fnac Darty SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Fnac Darty SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Fnac Darty SA has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Fnac Darty SA has accumulated 1.81 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 158.3, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Fnac Darty SA has a current ratio of 0.84, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Fnac Darty until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Fnac Darty's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Fnac Darty SA sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Fnac to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Fnac Darty's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 37.0% of Fnac Darty shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Fnac Stock
Fnac Darty financial ratios help investors to determine whether Fnac Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Fnac with respect to the benefits of owning Fnac Darty security.