Farmland Partners Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 10.85
| FPI Stock | USD 12.55 0.20 1.62% |
Farmland |
Farmland Partners Target Price Odds to finish below 10.85
The tendency of Farmland Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 10.85 or more in 90 days |
| 12.55 | 90 days | 10.85 | about 44.97 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Farmland Partners to drop to $ 10.85 or more in 90 days from now is about 44.97 (This Farmland Partners probability density function shows the probability of Farmland Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Farmland Partners price to stay between $ 10.85 and its current price of $12.55 at the end of the 90-day period is about 52.3 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Farmland Partners has a beta of 0.24. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Farmland Partners average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Farmland Partners will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Farmland Partners has an alpha of 0.3293, implying that it can generate a 0.33 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Farmland Partners Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Farmland Partners
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Farmland Partners. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Farmland Partners Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Farmland Partners is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Farmland Partners' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Farmland Partners, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Farmland Partners within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.33 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.24 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.82 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.16 |
Farmland Partners Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Farmland Partners for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Farmland Partners can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 61.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 15th of October 2024 Farmland Partners paid $ 0.06 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Sherrick Bruce J of 4000 shares of Farmland Partners at 11.51 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Farmland Partners Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Farmland Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Farmland Partners' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Farmland Partners' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 58.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5.5 M |
Farmland Partners Technical Analysis
Farmland Partners' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Farmland Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Farmland Partners. In general, you should focus on analyzing Farmland Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Farmland Partners Predictive Forecast Models
Farmland Partners' time-series forecasting models is one of many Farmland Partners' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Farmland Partners' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Farmland Partners
Checking the ongoing alerts about Farmland Partners for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Farmland Partners help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 61.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 15th of October 2024 Farmland Partners paid $ 0.06 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Sherrick Bruce J of 4000 shares of Farmland Partners at 11.51 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Check out Farmland Partners Backtesting, Farmland Partners Valuation, Farmland Partners Correlation, Farmland Partners Hype Analysis, Farmland Partners Volatility, Farmland Partners History as well as Farmland Partners Performance. For more detail on how to invest in Farmland Stock please use our How to Invest in Farmland Partners guide.You can also try the Commodity Directory module to find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges.
Is Other Specialized REITs space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Farmland Partners. If investors know Farmland will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Farmland Partners listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.71) | Dividend Share 0.24 | Earnings Share 0.29 | Revenue Per Share 1.224 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.147 |
The market value of Farmland Partners is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Farmland that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Farmland Partners' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Farmland Partners' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Farmland Partners' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Farmland Partners' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Farmland Partners' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Farmland Partners is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Farmland Partners' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.