Global Business Travel Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 9.29
| GBTG Stock | USD 9.46 0.02 0.21% |
Global |
Global Business Target Price Odds to finish below 9.29
The tendency of Global Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 9.29 or more in 90 days |
| 9.46 | 90 days | 9.29 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Global Business to drop to $ 9.29 or more in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Global Business Travel probability density function shows the probability of Global Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Global Business Travel price to stay between $ 9.29 and its current price of $9.46 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.76 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Global Business will likely underperform. Additionally Global Business Travel has an alpha of 0.2683, implying that it can generate a 0.27 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Global Business Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Global Business
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Global Business Travel. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Global Business' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Global Business Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Global Business is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Global Business' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Global Business Travel, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Global Business within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.27 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.76 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.61 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.16 |
Global Business Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Global Business for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Global Business Travel can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 2.29 B. Net Loss for the year was (63 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.02 B. | |
| About 58.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Global Business Travel Group, Inc. Sees Significant Decrease in Short Interest |
Global Business Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Global Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Global Business' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Global Business' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 458.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 476 M |
Global Business Technical Analysis
Global Business' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Global Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Global Business Travel. In general, you should focus on analyzing Global Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Global Business Predictive Forecast Models
Global Business' time-series forecasting models is one of many Global Business' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Global Business' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Global Business Travel
Checking the ongoing alerts about Global Business for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Global Business Travel help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 2.29 B. Net Loss for the year was (63 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.02 B. | |
| About 58.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Global Business Travel Group, Inc. Sees Significant Decrease in Short Interest |
Check out Global Business Backtesting, Global Business Valuation, Global Business Correlation, Global Business Hype Analysis, Global Business Volatility, Global Business History as well as Global Business Performance. You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Global Business. If investors know Global will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Global Business listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.42) | Revenue Per Share 5.149 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.046 | Return On Assets 0.0265 | Return On Equity (0.14) |
The market value of Global Business Travel is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Global that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Global Business' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Global Business' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Global Business' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Global Business' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Global Business' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Global Business is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Global Business' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.