Galapagos Recebiveis (Brazil) Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Under 66.45
| GCRI11 Fund | BRL 64.70 1.69 2.55% |
Galapagos |
Galapagos Recebiveis Target Price Odds to finish below 66.45
The tendency of Galapagos Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under R$ 66.45 after 90 days |
| 64.70 | 90 days | 66.45 | about 43.93 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Galapagos Recebiveis to stay under R$ 66.45 after 90 days from now is about 43.93 (This Galapagos Recebiveis Imobiliarios probability density function shows the probability of Galapagos Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Galapagos Recebiveis price to stay between its current price of R$ 64.70 and R$ 66.45 at the end of the 90-day period is about 22.98 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Galapagos Recebiveis Imobiliarios has a beta of -0.0807. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Galapagos Recebiveis are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Galapagos Recebiveis Imobiliarios is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Galapagos Recebiveis Imobiliarios has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Galapagos Recebiveis Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Galapagos Recebiveis
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Galapagos Recebiveis. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Galapagos Recebiveis Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Galapagos Recebiveis is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Galapagos Recebiveis' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Galapagos Recebiveis Imobiliarios, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Galapagos Recebiveis within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.11 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.08 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.68 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.19 |
Galapagos Recebiveis Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Galapagos Recebiveis for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Galapagos Recebiveis can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Galapagos Recebiveis generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Galapagos Recebiveis Technical Analysis
Galapagos Recebiveis' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Galapagos Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Galapagos Recebiveis Imobiliarios. In general, you should focus on analyzing Galapagos Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Galapagos Recebiveis Predictive Forecast Models
Galapagos Recebiveis' time-series forecasting models is one of many Galapagos Recebiveis' fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Galapagos Recebiveis' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Galapagos Recebiveis
Checking the ongoing alerts about Galapagos Recebiveis for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Galapagos Recebiveis help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Galapagos Recebiveis generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Other Information on Investing in Galapagos Fund
Galapagos Recebiveis financial ratios help investors to determine whether Galapagos Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Galapagos with respect to the benefits of owning Galapagos Recebiveis security.
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