Grupo Financiero Galicia Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 48.82

GGAL Stock  USD 56.44  0.33  0.59%   
Grupo Financiero's future price is the expected price of Grupo Financiero instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Grupo Financiero Galicia performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Grupo Financiero Backtesting, Grupo Financiero Valuation, Grupo Financiero Correlation, Grupo Financiero Hype Analysis, Grupo Financiero Volatility, Grupo Financiero History as well as Grupo Financiero Performance.
  
At this time, Grupo Financiero's Price To Book Ratio is quite stable compared to the past year. Price Cash Flow Ratio is expected to rise to 28.47 this year, although the value of Price Earnings Ratio will most likely fall to 3.94. Please specify Grupo Financiero's target price for which you would like Grupo Financiero odds to be computed.

Grupo Financiero Target Price Odds to finish over 48.82

The tendency of Grupo Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 48.82  in 90 days
 56.44 90 days 48.82 
about 46.49
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Grupo Financiero to stay above $ 48.82  in 90 days from now is about 46.49 (This Grupo Financiero Galicia probability density function shows the probability of Grupo Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Grupo Financiero Galicia price to stay between $ 48.82  and its current price of $56.44 at the end of the 90-day period is about 37.73 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Grupo Financiero has a beta of 0.81. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Grupo Financiero average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Grupo Financiero Galicia will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Grupo Financiero Galicia has an alpha of 0.6484, implying that it can generate a 0.65 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Grupo Financiero Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Grupo Financiero

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Grupo Financiero Galicia. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
53.3755.8158.25
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
35.5437.9861.72
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
12.1813.3814.85
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
7.147.147.14
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Grupo Financiero. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Grupo Financiero's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Grupo Financiero's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Grupo Financiero Galicia.

Grupo Financiero Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Grupo Financiero is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Grupo Financiero's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Grupo Financiero Galicia, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Grupo Financiero within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.65
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.81
σ
Overall volatility
6.01
Ir
Information ratio 0.24

Grupo Financiero Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Grupo Financiero for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Grupo Financiero Galicia can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Grupo Financiero Galicia currently holds about 534.08 B in cash with (3.46 T) of positive cash flow from operations.
Grupo Financiero has a very weak financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Grupo Financiero Galicia SA Shares Up 3.95 percent on Nov 26

Grupo Financiero Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Grupo Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Grupo Financiero's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Grupo Financiero's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding119.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments-1.9 T

Grupo Financiero Technical Analysis

Grupo Financiero's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Grupo Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Grupo Financiero Galicia. In general, you should focus on analyzing Grupo Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Grupo Financiero Predictive Forecast Models

Grupo Financiero's time-series forecasting models is one of many Grupo Financiero's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Grupo Financiero's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Grupo Financiero Galicia

Checking the ongoing alerts about Grupo Financiero for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Grupo Financiero Galicia help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Grupo Financiero Galicia currently holds about 534.08 B in cash with (3.46 T) of positive cash flow from operations.
Grupo Financiero has a very weak financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Grupo Financiero Galicia SA Shares Up 3.95 percent on Nov 26
When determining whether Grupo Financiero Galicia is a strong investment it is important to analyze Grupo Financiero's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Grupo Financiero's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Grupo Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Is Diversified Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Grupo Financiero. If investors know Grupo will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Grupo Financiero listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
2.106
Earnings Share
2.27
Revenue Per Share
4.5 K
Quarterly Revenue Growth
1.343
Return On Assets
0.0685
The market value of Grupo Financiero Galicia is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Grupo that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Grupo Financiero's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Grupo Financiero's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Grupo Financiero's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Grupo Financiero's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Grupo Financiero's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Grupo Financiero is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Grupo Financiero's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.