Greentree Hospitality Group Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2.36
| GHG Stock | USD 2.65 0.02 0.75% |
GreenTree |
GreenTree Hospitality Target Price Odds to finish below 2.36
The tendency of GreenTree Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 2.36 or more in 90 days |
| 2.65 | 90 days | 2.36 | about 8.13 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of GreenTree Hospitality to drop to $ 2.36 or more in 90 days from now is about 8.13 (This GreenTree Hospitality Group probability density function shows the probability of GreenTree Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of GreenTree Hospitality price to stay between $ 2.36 and its current price of $2.65 at the end of the 90-day period is about 27.86 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.12 . This usually indicates GreenTree Hospitality Group market returns are reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, GreenTree Hospitality is expected to follow. Additionally GreenTree Hospitality Group has an alpha of 0.0945, implying that it can generate a 0.0945 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). GreenTree Hospitality Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for GreenTree Hospitality
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GreenTree Hospitality. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.GreenTree Hospitality Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. GreenTree Hospitality is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the GreenTree Hospitality's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold GreenTree Hospitality Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of GreenTree Hospitality within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.12 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.28 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
GreenTree Hospitality Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of GreenTree Hospitality for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for GreenTree Hospitality can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| GreenTree Hospitality had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| GreenTree Hospitality has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 85.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| On 23rd of October 2024 GreenTree Hospitality paid $ 0.1 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from insidermonkey.com: GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd. Q3 2024 Earnings Call Transcript |
GreenTree Hospitality Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of GreenTree Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential GreenTree Hospitality's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. GreenTree Hospitality's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 102.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.2 B |
GreenTree Hospitality Technical Analysis
GreenTree Hospitality's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. GreenTree Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of GreenTree Hospitality Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing GreenTree Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
GreenTree Hospitality Predictive Forecast Models
GreenTree Hospitality's time-series forecasting models is one of many GreenTree Hospitality's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary GreenTree Hospitality's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about GreenTree Hospitality
Checking the ongoing alerts about GreenTree Hospitality for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for GreenTree Hospitality help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| GreenTree Hospitality had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| GreenTree Hospitality has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 85.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| On 23rd of October 2024 GreenTree Hospitality paid $ 0.1 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from insidermonkey.com: GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd. Q3 2024 Earnings Call Transcript |
Check out GreenTree Hospitality Backtesting, GreenTree Hospitality Valuation, GreenTree Hospitality Correlation, GreenTree Hospitality Hype Analysis, GreenTree Hospitality Volatility, GreenTree Hospitality History as well as GreenTree Hospitality Performance. You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.
Is Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of GreenTree Hospitality. If investors know GreenTree will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about GreenTree Hospitality listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.50) | Earnings Share 0.34 | Revenue Per Share 14.887 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.21) | Return On Assets 0.0424 |
The market value of GreenTree Hospitality is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of GreenTree that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of GreenTree Hospitality's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is GreenTree Hospitality's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because GreenTree Hospitality's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect GreenTree Hospitality's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between GreenTree Hospitality's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if GreenTree Hospitality is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, GreenTree Hospitality's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.