Glunz Jensen (Denmark) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 65.50

GJ Stock  DKK 65.50  0.50  0.77%   
Glunz Jensen's future price is the expected price of Glunz Jensen instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Glunz Jensen performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Glunz Jensen Backtesting, Glunz Jensen Valuation, Glunz Jensen Correlation, Glunz Jensen Hype Analysis, Glunz Jensen Volatility, Glunz Jensen History as well as Glunz Jensen Performance.
  
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Glunz Jensen Target Price Odds to finish over 65.50

The tendency of Glunz Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 65.50 90 days 65.50 
about 88.57
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Glunz Jensen to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 88.57 (This Glunz Jensen probability density function shows the probability of Glunz Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Glunz Jensen has a beta of -0.0273. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Glunz Jensen are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Glunz Jensen is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Glunz Jensen has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Glunz Jensen Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Glunz Jensen

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Glunz Jensen. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Glunz Jensen's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
64.0165.5066.99
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
54.5856.0772.05
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
61.6863.1764.66
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
63.7566.7969.83
Details

Glunz Jensen Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Glunz Jensen is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Glunz Jensen's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Glunz Jensen, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Glunz Jensen within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.14
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.03
σ
Overall volatility
1.91
Ir
Information ratio -0.16

Glunz Jensen Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Glunz Jensen for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Glunz Jensen can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Glunz Jensen generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Glunz Jensen has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 51.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Glunz Jensen Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Glunz Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Glunz Jensen's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Glunz Jensen's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.8 M

Glunz Jensen Technical Analysis

Glunz Jensen's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Glunz Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Glunz Jensen. In general, you should focus on analyzing Glunz Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Glunz Jensen Predictive Forecast Models

Glunz Jensen's time-series forecasting models is one of many Glunz Jensen's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Glunz Jensen's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Glunz Jensen

Checking the ongoing alerts about Glunz Jensen for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Glunz Jensen help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Glunz Jensen generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Glunz Jensen has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 51.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Glunz Stock

Glunz Jensen financial ratios help investors to determine whether Glunz Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Glunz with respect to the benefits of owning Glunz Jensen security.