Guangshen Railway Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 4.66
| GNGYF Stock | USD 0.24 0.00 0.00% |
Guangshen |
Guangshen Railway Target Price Odds to finish over 4.66
The tendency of Guangshen Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 4.66 or more in 90 days |
| 0.24 | 90 days | 4.66 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Guangshen Railway to move over $ 4.66 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Guangshen Railway probability density function shows the probability of Guangshen Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Guangshen Railway price to stay between its current price of $ 0.24 and $ 4.66 at the end of the 90-day period is about 73.09 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Guangshen Railway has a beta of -0.23. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Guangshen Railway are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Guangshen Railway is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Guangshen Railway has an alpha of 0.1037, implying that it can generate a 0.1 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Guangshen Railway Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Guangshen Railway
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Guangshen Railway. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Guangshen Railway's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Guangshen Railway Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Guangshen Railway is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Guangshen Railway's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Guangshen Railway, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Guangshen Railway within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.10 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.23 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.03 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0054 |
Guangshen Railway Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Guangshen Railway for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Guangshen Railway can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Guangshen Railway has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Guangshen Railway had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Guangshen Railway has accumulated 1.89 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.07, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Guangshen Railway has a current ratio of 0.84, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Guangshen Railway until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Guangshen Railway's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Guangshen Railway sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Guangshen to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Guangshen Railway's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 20.21 B. Net Loss for the year was (973.12 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (1.06 B). |
Guangshen Railway Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Guangshen Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Guangshen Railway's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Guangshen Railway's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 7.1 B |
Guangshen Railway Technical Analysis
Guangshen Railway's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Guangshen Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Guangshen Railway. In general, you should focus on analyzing Guangshen Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Guangshen Railway Predictive Forecast Models
Guangshen Railway's time-series forecasting models is one of many Guangshen Railway's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Guangshen Railway's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Guangshen Railway
Checking the ongoing alerts about Guangshen Railway for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Guangshen Railway help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Guangshen Railway has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Guangshen Railway had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Guangshen Railway has accumulated 1.89 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.07, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Guangshen Railway has a current ratio of 0.84, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Guangshen Railway until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Guangshen Railway's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Guangshen Railway sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Guangshen to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Guangshen Railway's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 20.21 B. Net Loss for the year was (973.12 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (1.06 B). |
Other Information on Investing in Guangshen Pink Sheet
Guangshen Railway financial ratios help investors to determine whether Guangshen Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Guangshen with respect to the benefits of owning Guangshen Railway security.