Guangshen Railway Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| GNGYF Stock | USD 0.24 0.00 0.00% |
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your highly speculative risk level, our recommendation regarding Guangshen Railway is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Guangshen Railway buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding GNGYF positions.
Check out Guangshen Railway Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Guangshen and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Guangshen Railway. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in manufacturing.
Guangshen |
Execute Guangshen Railway Buy or Sell Advice
The Guangshen recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Guangshen Railway. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Guangshen Railway or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Guangshen Railway's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Sell
Market Performance | Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Out of control | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Follows the market closely | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Inapplicable | Details |
Guangshen Railway Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Guangshen Railway has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Guangshen Railway had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Guangshen Railway has accumulated 1.89 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.07, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Guangshen Railway has a current ratio of 0.84, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Guangshen Railway until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Guangshen Railway's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Guangshen Railway sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Guangshen to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Guangshen Railway's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 20.21 B. Net Loss for the year was (973.12 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (1.06 B). |
Guangshen Railway Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Guangshen Railway's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Guangshen Railway's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Guangshen Railway daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Guangshen Railway price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Guangshen Railway returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Guangshen Railway.
| Mean Return | 0.09 | Value At Risk | 0.00 | Potential Upside | 0.00 | Standard Deviation | 4.37 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Guangshen Railway historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Guangshen Railway Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Guangshen Railway or Industrials sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Guangshen Railway's price will be affected by overall pink sheet market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Guangshen pink sheet's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.86 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.40 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0079 |
Guangshen Railway Volatility Alert
Guangshen Railway exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 2.56 and kurtosis of 32.64. Guangshen Railway is a potential penny stock. Although Guangshen Railway may be in fact a good instrument to invest, many penny pink sheets are speculative in nature and are subject to artificial price hype. Please make sure you totally understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in Guangshen Railway. We encourage investors to look for signals such as email spams, message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, volume upswings, sudden news releases, promotions that are not reported, or demotions released before SEC filings. Please also check biographies and work history of current and past company officers before investing in high volatility instruments, penny stocks, or equities with microcap classification. You can indeed make money on Guangshen instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny pink sheets that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.Guangshen Railway Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Guangshen Railway's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Guangshen Railway's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Guangshen Railway and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Guangshen Railway or determine the pink sheets which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Guangshen Railway's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Guangshen Railway by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Guangshen Railway to competition |
| Fundamentals | Guangshen Railway | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.063 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.0392 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.08) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0.11) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 2.24 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 1.43 B | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 47.06 % | 39.21 % |
| Price To Earning | 22.30 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 0.27 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.10 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 20.21 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | (1.06 B) | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 672.58 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (973.12 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 1.08 B | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.15 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 1.89 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.07 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 0.86 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 3.72 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 1 B | 971.22 M |
| Earnings Per Share | (0.03) X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 1.51 X | 4.89 X |
| Number Of Employees | 40.62 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.71 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 2.11 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 37.4 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 9.34 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 2.61 B | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 5.83 B | 9.34 B |
| Current Liabilities | 3.22 B | 7.9 B |
| Z Score | 0.6 | 8.72 |
| Annual Yield | 0.04 % |
Guangshen Railway Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Guangshen . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Guangshen Railway Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Guangshen Railway? Buying financial instruments such as Guangshen Pink Sheet isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
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Other Information on Investing in Guangshen Pink Sheet
Guangshen Railway financial ratios help investors to determine whether Guangshen Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Guangshen with respect to the benefits of owning Guangshen Railway security.