Golden Sun Education Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2.77
| GSUN Stock | USD 2.83 0.06 2.08% |
Golden |
Golden Sun Target Price Odds to finish below 2.77
The tendency of Golden Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 2.77 or more in 90 days |
| 2.83 | 90 days | 2.77 | about 13.06 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Golden Sun to drop to $ 2.77 or more in 90 days from now is about 13.06 (This Golden Sun Education probability density function shows the probability of Golden Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Golden Sun Education price to stay between $ 2.77 and its current price of $2.83 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.68 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Golden Sun will likely underperform. Additionally Golden Sun Education has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Golden Sun Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Golden Sun
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Golden Sun Education. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Golden Sun's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Golden Sun Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Golden Sun is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Golden Sun's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Golden Sun Education, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Golden Sun within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -1.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.68 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.97 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
Golden Sun Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Golden Sun for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Golden Sun Education can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Golden Sun Education generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Golden Sun Education has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Golden Sun Education has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Golden Sun Education currently holds 4.79 M in liabilities. Golden Sun Education has a current ratio of 0.34, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Golden Sun's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 6.16 M. Net Loss for the year was (5.79 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.81 M. | |
| Golden Sun Education currently holds about 602.88 K in cash with (7.94 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.03. | |
| Roughly 20.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Golden Sun Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Golden Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Golden Sun's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Golden Sun's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 18.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 6.6 M |
Golden Sun Technical Analysis
Golden Sun's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Golden Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Golden Sun Education. In general, you should focus on analyzing Golden Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Golden Sun Predictive Forecast Models
Golden Sun's time-series forecasting models is one of many Golden Sun's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Golden Sun's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Golden Sun Education
Checking the ongoing alerts about Golden Sun for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Golden Sun Education help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Golden Sun Education generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Golden Sun Education has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Golden Sun Education has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Golden Sun Education currently holds 4.79 M in liabilities. Golden Sun Education has a current ratio of 0.34, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Golden Sun's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 6.16 M. Net Loss for the year was (5.79 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.81 M. | |
| Golden Sun Education currently holds about 602.88 K in cash with (7.94 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.03. | |
| Roughly 20.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Check out Golden Sun Backtesting, Golden Sun Valuation, Golden Sun Correlation, Golden Sun Hype Analysis, Golden Sun Volatility, Golden Sun History as well as Golden Sun Performance. You can also try the Global Markets Map module to get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes.
Is Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Golden Sun. If investors know Golden will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Golden Sun listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.74) | Earnings Share (2.01) | Revenue Per Share 3.258 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.051 | Return On Assets (0.11) |
The market value of Golden Sun Education is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Golden that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Golden Sun's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Golden Sun's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Golden Sun's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Golden Sun's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Golden Sun's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Golden Sun is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Golden Sun's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.