Gotham Total Return Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 13.17

GTRFX Fund  USD 14.61  0.02  0.14%   
Gotham Total's future price is the expected price of Gotham Total instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Gotham Total Return performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Gotham Total Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Gotham Total Correlation, Gotham Total Hype Analysis, Gotham Total Volatility, Gotham Total History as well as Gotham Total Performance.
  
Please specify Gotham Total's target price for which you would like Gotham Total odds to be computed.

Gotham Total Target Price Odds to finish below 13.17

The tendency of Gotham Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 13.17  or more in 90 days
 14.61 90 days 13.17 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Gotham Total to drop to $ 13.17  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Gotham Total Return probability density function shows the probability of Gotham Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Gotham Total Return price to stay between $ 13.17  and its current price of $14.61 at the end of the 90-day period is about 79.41 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Gotham Total has a beta of 0.12. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Gotham Total average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Gotham Total Return will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Gotham Total Return has an alpha of 0.0686, implying that it can generate a 0.0686 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Gotham Total Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Gotham Total

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gotham Total Return. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.0414.5915.14
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.0014.5515.10
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
13.9414.4815.03
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
14.5014.7314.95
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Gotham Total. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Gotham Total's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Gotham Total's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Gotham Total Return.

Gotham Total Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Gotham Total is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Gotham Total's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Gotham Total Return, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Gotham Total within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.12
σ
Overall volatility
0.28
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Gotham Total Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Gotham Total for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Gotham Total Return can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains 106.32% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Gotham Total Technical Analysis

Gotham Total's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Gotham Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Gotham Total Return. In general, you should focus on analyzing Gotham Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Gotham Total Predictive Forecast Models

Gotham Total's time-series forecasting models is one of many Gotham Total's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Gotham Total's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Gotham Total Return

Checking the ongoing alerts about Gotham Total for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Gotham Total Return help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains 106.32% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Other Information on Investing in Gotham Mutual Fund

Gotham Total financial ratios help investors to determine whether Gotham Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Gotham with respect to the benefits of owning Gotham Total security.
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