Hdfc Bank Limited Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 64.5
| HDB Stock | USD 66.65 0.26 0.39% |
HDFC |
HDFC Bank Target Price Odds to finish below 64.5
The tendency of HDFC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 64.50 or more in 90 days |
| 66.65 | 90 days | 64.50 | about 84.71 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of HDFC Bank to drop to $ 64.50 or more in 90 days from now is about 84.71 (This HDFC Bank Limited probability density function shows the probability of HDFC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of HDFC Bank Limited price to stay between $ 64.50 and its current price of $66.65 at the end of the 90-day period is about 13.87 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon HDFC Bank has a beta of 0.63. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, HDFC Bank average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding HDFC Bank Limited will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally HDFC Bank Limited has an alpha of 0.0676, implying that it can generate a 0.0676 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). HDFC Bank Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for HDFC Bank
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as HDFC Bank Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of HDFC Bank's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
HDFC Bank Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. HDFC Bank is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the HDFC Bank's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold HDFC Bank Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of HDFC Bank within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.63 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.75 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
HDFC Bank Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of HDFC Bank for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for HDFC Bank Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| HDFC Bank Limited has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| HDFC Bank Limited has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: HDFC Bank Ltd Trading 3.69 percent Higher on Nov 25 |
HDFC Bank Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of HDFC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential HDFC Bank's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. HDFC Bank's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 7.1 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.3 T |
HDFC Bank Technical Analysis
HDFC Bank's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. HDFC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of HDFC Bank Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing HDFC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
HDFC Bank Predictive Forecast Models
HDFC Bank's time-series forecasting models is one of many HDFC Bank's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary HDFC Bank's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about HDFC Bank Limited
Checking the ongoing alerts about HDFC Bank for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for HDFC Bank Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| HDFC Bank Limited has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| HDFC Bank Limited has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: HDFC Bank Ltd Trading 3.69 percent Higher on Nov 25 |
Check out HDFC Bank Backtesting, HDFC Bank Valuation, HDFC Bank Correlation, HDFC Bank Hype Analysis, HDFC Bank Volatility, HDFC Bank History as well as HDFC Bank Performance. You can also try the Pattern Recognition module to use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.
Is Diversified Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of HDFC Bank. If investors know HDFC will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about HDFC Bank listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.39 | Earnings Share 3.14 | Revenue Per Share 217.953 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.63 | Return On Assets 0.0171 |
The market value of HDFC Bank Limited is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of HDFC that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of HDFC Bank's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is HDFC Bank's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because HDFC Bank's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect HDFC Bank's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between HDFC Bank's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if HDFC Bank is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, HDFC Bank's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.