Hydrogene (France) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 3.70

HDF Stock   3.70  0.41  9.98%   
Hydrogene's future price is the expected price of Hydrogene instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Hydrogene De France performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Hydrogene Backtesting, Hydrogene Valuation, Hydrogene Correlation, Hydrogene Hype Analysis, Hydrogene Volatility, Hydrogene History as well as Hydrogene Performance.
  
Please specify Hydrogene's target price for which you would like Hydrogene odds to be computed.

Hydrogene Target Price Odds to finish over 3.70

The tendency of Hydrogene Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 3.70 90 days 3.70 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hydrogene to move above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Hydrogene De France probability density function shows the probability of Hydrogene Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Hydrogene has a beta of 0.0376. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Hydrogene average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Hydrogene De France will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Hydrogene De France has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Hydrogene Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Hydrogene

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hydrogene De France. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.603.705.80
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.013.115.21
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1.243.345.44
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.934.655.37
Details

Hydrogene Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hydrogene is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hydrogene's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hydrogene De France, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hydrogene within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.58
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.04
σ
Overall volatility
0.57
Ir
Information ratio -0.4

Hydrogene Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Hydrogene for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Hydrogene De France can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Hydrogene De France generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Hydrogene De France has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 885 K. Net Loss for the year was (3.52 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (158.8 K).
Hydrogene De France has accumulated about 95.12 M in cash with (4.45 M) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 18.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Hydrogene Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Hydrogene Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Hydrogene's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hydrogene's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding13.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments95.7 M

Hydrogene Technical Analysis

Hydrogene's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Hydrogene Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Hydrogene De France. In general, you should focus on analyzing Hydrogene Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Hydrogene Predictive Forecast Models

Hydrogene's time-series forecasting models is one of many Hydrogene's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Hydrogene's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Hydrogene De France

Checking the ongoing alerts about Hydrogene for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Hydrogene De France help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Hydrogene De France generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Hydrogene De France has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 885 K. Net Loss for the year was (3.52 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (158.8 K).
Hydrogene De France has accumulated about 95.12 M in cash with (4.45 M) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 18.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Hydrogene Stock

Hydrogene financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hydrogene Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hydrogene with respect to the benefits of owning Hydrogene security.