Hong Yuan Holding Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0.0336
| HGYN Stock | USD 0.02 0.03 51.60% |
Hong |
Hong Yuan Target Price Odds to finish below 0.0336
The tendency of Hong Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 0.03 after 90 days |
| 0.02 | 90 days | 0.03 | about 79.63 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hong Yuan to stay under $ 0.03 after 90 days from now is about 79.63 (This Hong Yuan Holding probability density function shows the probability of Hong Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Hong Yuan Holding price to stay between its current price of $ 0.02 and $ 0.03 at the end of the 90-day period is about 30.04 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Hong Yuan Holding has a beta of -5.31. This usually indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Hong Yuan Holding are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Hong Yuan is expected to outperform its benchmark. In addition to that Hong Yuan Holding has an alpha of 5.2855, implying that it can generate a 5.29 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Hong Yuan Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Hong Yuan
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hong Yuan Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Hong Yuan's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hong Yuan Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hong Yuan is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hong Yuan's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hong Yuan Holding, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hong Yuan within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 5.29 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -5.31 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.15 |
Hong Yuan Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Hong Yuan for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Hong Yuan Holding can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Hong Yuan Holding is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Hong Yuan Holding has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Hong Yuan Holding appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Hong Yuan Holding has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (46.28 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| About 67.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Hong Yuan Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Hong Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Hong Yuan's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hong Yuan's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 74.6 M |
Hong Yuan Technical Analysis
Hong Yuan's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Hong Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Hong Yuan Holding. In general, you should focus on analyzing Hong Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Hong Yuan Predictive Forecast Models
Hong Yuan's time-series forecasting models is one of many Hong Yuan's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Hong Yuan's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Hong Yuan Holding
Checking the ongoing alerts about Hong Yuan for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Hong Yuan Holding help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Hong Yuan Holding is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Hong Yuan Holding has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Hong Yuan Holding appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Hong Yuan Holding has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (46.28 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| About 67.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Hong Pink Sheet
Hong Yuan financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hong Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hong with respect to the benefits of owning Hong Yuan security.