Hippo Holdings Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3.82
| HIPO Stock | USD 25.56 0.43 1.65% |
Closest to current price Hippo long PUT Option Payoff at Expiration
Hippo |
Hippo Holdings Target Price Odds to finish below 3.82
The tendency of Hippo Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 3.82 or more in 90 days |
| 25.56 | 90 days | 3.82 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hippo Holdings to drop to $ 3.82 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Hippo Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Hippo Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Hippo Holdings price to stay between $ 3.82 and its current price of $25.56 at the end of the 90-day period is about 10.72 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.79 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Hippo Holdings will likely underperform. Additionally Hippo Holdings has an alpha of 0.1215, implying that it can generate a 0.12 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Hippo Holdings Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Hippo Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hippo Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Hippo Holdings Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hippo Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hippo Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hippo Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hippo Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.12 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.79 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.71 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Hippo Holdings Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Hippo Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Hippo Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Hippo Holdings had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 372.1 M. Net Loss for the year was (28.6 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 163.1 M. | |
| About 26.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Hippo Holdings Inc Trading Down 0.72 percent on Mar 21 |
Hippo Holdings Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Hippo Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Hippo Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hippo Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 24.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 197.6 M |
Hippo Holdings Technical Analysis
Hippo Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Hippo Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Hippo Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Hippo Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Hippo Holdings Predictive Forecast Models
Hippo Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many Hippo Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Hippo Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Hippo Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about Hippo Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Hippo Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Hippo Holdings had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 372.1 M. Net Loss for the year was (28.6 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 163.1 M. | |
| About 26.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Hippo Holdings Inc Trading Down 0.72 percent on Mar 21 |
Check out Hippo Holdings Backtesting, Hippo Holdings Valuation, Hippo Holdings Correlation, Hippo Holdings Hype Analysis, Hippo Holdings Volatility, Hippo Holdings History as well as Hippo Holdings Performance. To learn how to invest in Hippo Stock, please use our How to Invest in Hippo Holdings guide.You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.
Is Insurance Brokers space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Hippo Holdings. If investors know Hippo will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Hippo Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (1.61) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.58 | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
The market value of Hippo Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Hippo that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Hippo Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Hippo Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Hippo Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Hippo Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Hippo Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Hippo Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hippo Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.