Home Invest (Belgium) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 13.54
| HOMI Stock | EUR 15.58 0.12 0.76% |
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Home Invest Target Price Odds to finish below 13.54
The tendency of Home Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 13.54 or more in 90 days |
| 15.58 | 90 days | 13.54 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Home Invest to drop to € 13.54 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Home Invest Belgium probability density function shows the probability of Home Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Home Invest Belgium price to stay between € 13.54 and its current price of €15.58 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.47 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Home Invest has a beta of 0.35. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Home Invest average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Home Invest Belgium will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Home Invest Belgium has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Home Invest Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Home Invest
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Home Invest Belgium. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Home Invest Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Home Invest is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Home Invest's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Home Invest Belgium, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Home Invest within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.27 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.35 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.12 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.21 |
Home Invest Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Home Invest for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Home Invest Belgium can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Home Invest Belgium generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Home Invest Belgium has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Home Invest Belgium has accumulated 341.6 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 101.4, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Home Invest Belgium has a current ratio of 0.78, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Home Invest until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Home Invest's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Home Invest Belgium sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Home to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Home Invest's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 42.0% of Home Invest shares are held by company insiders |
Home Invest Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Home Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Home Invest's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Home Invest's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 31.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.2 M |
Home Invest Technical Analysis
Home Invest's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Home Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Home Invest Belgium. In general, you should focus on analyzing Home Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Home Invest Predictive Forecast Models
Home Invest's time-series forecasting models is one of many Home Invest's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Home Invest's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Home Invest Belgium
Checking the ongoing alerts about Home Invest for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Home Invest Belgium help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Home Invest Belgium generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Home Invest Belgium has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Home Invest Belgium has accumulated 341.6 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 101.4, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Home Invest Belgium has a current ratio of 0.78, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Home Invest until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Home Invest's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Home Invest Belgium sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Home to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Home Invest's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 42.0% of Home Invest shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for Home Stock Analysis
When running Home Invest's price analysis, check to measure Home Invest's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Home Invest is operating at the current time. Most of Home Invest's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Home Invest's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Home Invest's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Home Invest to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.