Home Invest Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

HOMI Stock  EUR 15.58  0.12  0.76%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Home Invest Belgium on the next trading day is expected to be 15.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.22 and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.34. Home Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A naive forecasting model for Home Invest is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Home Invest Belgium value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Home Invest Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 22nd of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Home Invest Belgium on the next trading day is expected to be 15.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.22, mean absolute percentage error of 0.07, and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.34.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Home Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Home Invest's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Home Invest Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Home InvestHome Invest Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Home Invest Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Home Invest's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Home Invest's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 13.54 and 16.64, respectively. We have considered Home Invest's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
15.58
15.09
Expected Value
16.64
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Home Invest stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Home Invest stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.4562
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.2188
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0125
SAESum of the absolute errors13.3438
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Home Invest Belgium. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Home Invest. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Home Invest

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Home Invest Belgium. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.1515.7017.25
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.4213.9617.27
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
15.2616.4917.72
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Home Invest

For every potential investor in Home, whether a beginner or expert, Home Invest's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Home Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Home. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Home Invest's price trends.

Home Invest Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Home Invest stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Home Invest could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Home Invest by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Home Invest Belgium Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Home Invest's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Home Invest's current price.

Home Invest Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Home Invest stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Home Invest shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Home Invest stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Home Invest Belgium entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Home Invest Risk Indicators

The analysis of Home Invest's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Home Invest's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting home stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Additional Tools for Home Stock Analysis

When running Home Invest's price analysis, check to measure Home Invest's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Home Invest is operating at the current time. Most of Home Invest's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Home Invest's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Home Invest's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Home Invest to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.