Healthequity Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 104.25

HQY Stock  USD 104.25  0.40  0.38%   
HealthEquity's future price is the expected price of HealthEquity instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of HealthEquity performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out HealthEquity Backtesting, HealthEquity Valuation, HealthEquity Correlation, HealthEquity Hype Analysis, HealthEquity Volatility, HealthEquity History as well as HealthEquity Performance.
For more information on how to buy HealthEquity Stock please use our How to Invest in HealthEquity guide.
  
At this time, HealthEquity's Price To Sales Ratio is fairly stable compared to the past year. Price Book Value Ratio is likely to rise to 5.64 in 2024, whereas Price Earnings Ratio is likely to drop 72.27 in 2024. Please specify HealthEquity's target price for which you would like HealthEquity odds to be computed.

HealthEquity Target Price Odds to finish over 104.25

The tendency of HealthEquity Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 104.25 90 days 104.25 
about 1.28
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of HealthEquity to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 1.28 (This HealthEquity probability density function shows the probability of HealthEquity Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.8 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, HealthEquity will likely underperform. Additionally HealthEquity has an alpha of 0.2939, implying that it can generate a 0.29 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   HealthEquity Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for HealthEquity

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as HealthEquity. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
102.06104.34106.62
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
97.89100.17114.68
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
104.38106.65108.93
Details
14 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
78.1785.9095.35
Details

HealthEquity Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. HealthEquity is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the HealthEquity's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold HealthEquity, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of HealthEquity within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.29
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.80
σ
Overall volatility
8.55
Ir
Information ratio 0.17

HealthEquity Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of HealthEquity for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for HealthEquity can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
HealthEquity has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Heres Why You Should Add HealthEquity Stock to Your Portfolio Now - MSN

HealthEquity Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of HealthEquity Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential HealthEquity's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. HealthEquity's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding87 M
Cash And Short Term Investments404 M

HealthEquity Technical Analysis

HealthEquity's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. HealthEquity Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of HealthEquity. In general, you should focus on analyzing HealthEquity Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

HealthEquity Predictive Forecast Models

HealthEquity's time-series forecasting models is one of many HealthEquity's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary HealthEquity's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about HealthEquity

Checking the ongoing alerts about HealthEquity for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for HealthEquity help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
HealthEquity has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Heres Why You Should Add HealthEquity Stock to Your Portfolio Now - MSN

Additional Tools for HealthEquity Stock Analysis

When running HealthEquity's price analysis, check to measure HealthEquity's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy HealthEquity is operating at the current time. Most of HealthEquity's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of HealthEquity's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move HealthEquity's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of HealthEquity to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.