HealthEquity Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| HQY Stock | USD 85.67 2.10 2.51% |
HealthEquity Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of HealthEquity's share price is approaching 43. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling HealthEquity, making its price go up or down. Momentum 43
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 8.833 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.954 | EPS Estimate Next Year 4.5661 | Wall Street Target Price 119.125 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.9123 |
Using HealthEquity hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of HealthEquity from the perspective of HealthEquity response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards HealthEquity using HealthEquity's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards HealthEquity using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of HealthEquity's stock price.
HealthEquity Short Interest
An investor who is long HealthEquity may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about HealthEquity and may potentially protect profits, hedge HealthEquity with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 94.7832 | Short Percent 0.0497 | Short Ratio 3.77 | Shares Short Prior Month 4.4 M | 50 Day MA 94.2066 |
HealthEquity Relative Strength Index
The Simple Regression forecasted value of HealthEquity on the next trading day is expected to be 85.64 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 188.22.HealthEquity Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to HealthEquity's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in HealthEquity. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding HealthEquity can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around HealthEquity. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of HealthEquity's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about HealthEquity.
HealthEquity Implied Volatility | 0.49 |
HealthEquity's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of HealthEquity stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if HealthEquity's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that HealthEquity stock will not fluctuate a lot when HealthEquity's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of HealthEquity on the next trading day is expected to be 85.64 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 188.22. HealthEquity after-hype prediction price | USD 83.81 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
HealthEquity | Build AI portfolio with HealthEquity Stock |
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current HealthEquity contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that HealthEquity will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0306% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With HealthEquity trading at USD 85.67, that is roughly USD 0.0262 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating HealthEquity's daily price movement you should consider acquiring HealthEquity options at the current volatility level of 0.49%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 HealthEquity Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast HealthEquity's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in HealthEquity's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for HealthEquity stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current HealthEquity's open interest, investors have to compare it to HealthEquity's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of HealthEquity is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in HealthEquity. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
HealthEquity Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine HealthEquity price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for HealthEquity using various technical indicators. When you analyze HealthEquity charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
HealthEquity Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 31st of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of HealthEquity on the next trading day is expected to be 85.64 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.09, mean absolute percentage error of 15.71, and the sum of the absolute errors of 188.22.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict HealthEquity Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that HealthEquity's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
HealthEquity Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest HealthEquity | HealthEquity Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
HealthEquity Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting HealthEquity's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. HealthEquity's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 83.35 and 87.92, respectively. We have considered HealthEquity's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of HealthEquity stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent HealthEquity stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 120.8646 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 3.0855 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0327 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 188.2177 |
Predictive Modules for HealthEquity
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as HealthEquity. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.HealthEquity After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of HealthEquity at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in HealthEquity or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of HealthEquity, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
HealthEquity Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting HealthEquity's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on HealthEquity's historical news coverage. HealthEquity's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 81.52 and 86.10, respectively. We have considered HealthEquity's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
HealthEquity is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of HealthEquity is based on 3 months time horizon.
HealthEquity Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as HealthEquity is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading HealthEquity backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with HealthEquity, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.18 | 2.29 | 0.25 | 0.10 | 10 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
85.67 | 83.81 | 0.29 |
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HealthEquity Hype Timeline
On the 30th of January HealthEquity is traded for 85.67. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.25, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.1. HealthEquity is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 83.81 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 162.41%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.29%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.18%. The volatility of related hype on HealthEquity is about 408.12%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 85.57. The company reported the last year's revenue of 1.2 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 96.7 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 874.01 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of HealthEquity to cross-verify your projections.HealthEquity Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to HealthEquity's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict HealthEquity's future price movements. Getting to know how HealthEquity's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how HealthEquity may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GMED | Globus Medical | (2.17) | 12 per month | 0.87 | 0.13 | 3.67 | (2.31) | 38.89 | |
| MOH | Molina Healthcare | 5.44 | 12 per month | 2.85 | 0.06 | 3.97 | (4.52) | 13.66 | |
| PEN | Penumbra | 0.79 | 10 per month | 1.37 | 0.16 | 4.14 | (2.61) | 23.11 | |
| BTSG | BrightSpring Health Services | 0.88 | 11 per month | 1.96 | 0.10 | 2.99 | (3.70) | 9.60 | |
| BIO | Bio Rad Laboratories | (9.29) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 4.31 | (2.90) | 8.43 | |
| DVA | DaVita HealthCare Partners | (1.55) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 1.90 | (3.23) | 9.36 | |
| HSIC | Henry Schein | 0.18 | 10 per month | 1.23 | 0.1 | 2.43 | (2.33) | 13.60 | |
| CORT | Corcept Therapeutics Incorporated | 1.02 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 6.49 | (7.08) | 58.23 | |
| HIMS | Hims Hers Health | (0.35) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 4.19 | (5.66) | 15.28 |
Other Forecasting Options for HealthEquity
For every potential investor in HealthEquity, whether a beginner or expert, HealthEquity's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. HealthEquity Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in HealthEquity. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying HealthEquity's price trends.HealthEquity Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with HealthEquity stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of HealthEquity could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing HealthEquity by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
HealthEquity Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how HealthEquity stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading HealthEquity shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying HealthEquity stock market strength indicators, traders can identify HealthEquity entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
HealthEquity Risk Indicators
The analysis of HealthEquity's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in HealthEquity's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting healthequity stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.53 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.2 | |||
| Variance | 4.86 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for HealthEquity
The number of cover stories for HealthEquity depends on current market conditions and HealthEquity's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that HealthEquity is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about HealthEquity's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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HealthEquity Short Properties
HealthEquity's future price predictability will typically decrease when HealthEquity's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of HealthEquity often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential HealthEquity's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. HealthEquity's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 88.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 295.9 M |
Additional Tools for HealthEquity Stock Analysis
When running HealthEquity's price analysis, check to measure HealthEquity's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy HealthEquity is operating at the current time. Most of HealthEquity's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of HealthEquity's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move HealthEquity's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of HealthEquity to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.