Hub Group Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 43.35

HUBG Stock  USD 51.01  1.06  2.12%   
Hub's future price is the expected price of Hub instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Hub Group performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Hub Backtesting, Hub Valuation, Hub Correlation, Hub Hype Analysis, Hub Volatility, Hub History as well as Hub Performance.
  
At this time, Hub's Price Cash Flow Ratio is most likely to drop slightly in the upcoming years. Please specify Hub's target price for which you would like Hub odds to be computed.

Hub Target Price Odds to finish below 43.35

The tendency of Hub Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 43.35  or more in 90 days
 51.01 90 days 43.35 
about 21.66
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hub to drop to $ 43.35  or more in 90 days from now is about 21.66 (This Hub Group probability density function shows the probability of Hub Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Hub Group price to stay between $ 43.35  and its current price of $51.01 at the end of the 90-day period is about 77.54 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.52 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Hub will likely underperform. Additionally Hub Group has an alpha of 0.0783, implying that it can generate a 0.0783 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Hub Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Hub

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hub Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
48.0249.9551.88
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
38.4540.3854.95
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
47.0248.9450.87
Details
16 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
85.4893.93104.26
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Hub. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Hub's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Hub's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Hub Group.

Hub Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hub is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hub's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hub Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hub within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.52
σ
Overall volatility
2.34
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Hub Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Hub for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Hub Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 95.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 25th of September 2024 Hub paid $ 0.125 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Hub Group network realignment consolidates warehouses

Hub Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Hub Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Hub's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hub's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding64 M
Cash And Short Term Investments187.3 M

Hub Technical Analysis

Hub's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Hub Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Hub Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Hub Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Hub Predictive Forecast Models

Hub's time-series forecasting models is one of many Hub's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Hub's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Hub Group

Checking the ongoing alerts about Hub for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Hub Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 95.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 25th of September 2024 Hub paid $ 0.125 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Hub Group network realignment consolidates warehouses
When determining whether Hub Group is a strong investment it is important to analyze Hub's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Hub's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Hub Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Hub Backtesting, Hub Valuation, Hub Correlation, Hub Hype Analysis, Hub Volatility, Hub History as well as Hub Performance.
You can also try the Investing Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.
Is Air Freight & Logistics space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Hub. If investors know Hub will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Hub listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.19)
Dividend Share
0.375
Earnings Share
1.77
Revenue Per Share
64.815
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.04)
The market value of Hub Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Hub that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Hub's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Hub's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Hub's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Hub's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Hub's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Hub is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hub's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.