Hub Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average

HUBG Stock  USD 43.18  -0.65  -1.48%   
The Simple Moving Average output for Hub Group is derived from daily price data across the evaluation window. The error pattern reveals whether the model tracked prices consistently or diverged during volatile sessions. Parameters are re-estimated as new trading sessions are recorded, keeping the forecast current. The Simple Moving Average model projects Hub at 43.18 for the next trading day, at the most recent closing price. Hub's Simple Moving Average forecast is intended for short-term analytical reference.
The two-period moving average forecast for Hub replaces each daily closing price with the mean of that price and the preceding day's close. This produces a lightly smoothed series that closely tracks the actual price with a one-period lag.

Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 3rd of May

Over a 90-day horizon, the Simple Moving Average model forecasts Hub at 43.18 for the next trading day, with a mean absolute deviation of 0.97 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.02 , and sum of absolute errors of 57.20 .
This represents a tight forecast with good short-term tracking of Hub's price movement. This output is intended for short-term analytical reference.

Stock Forecast Pattern

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Forecasted Value

Hub's next-session forecast estimates practical downside and upside boundaries based on the model's historical fit. The current forecast range spans downside near 39.88 and upside near 46.48. The wide range indicates elevated uncertainty in short-term projections.
Market Value
43.18
43.18
Expected Value
46.48

Model Predictive Factors

The table below summarizes the Simple Moving Average model's error metrics for Hub stock. Lower MAD and MAPE values indicate tighter forecast accuracy. AIC measures relative model quality — lower values indicate less information loss and a better-fitting model. A large Bias suggests systematic over- or under-prediction.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.9545
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0443
MADMean absolute deviation0.9694
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0245
SAESum of the absolute errors57.195
With only two periods, the model is highly responsive to recent Hub Group price changes but provides minimal noise reduction. It is best suited for short-term evaluation of low-to-moderate volatility price series. A widening gap between the forecast and actual values may indicate an acceleration in price momentum.

Other Forecasting Options for Hub

Relative Strength Index values for Hub measure the speed and magnitude of recent price changes. Recognizing these clusters in Hub's returns informs position size and stop-loss calibration. Candlestick pattern analysis of Hub Stock daily data reveals short-term reversal or continuation signals.

Hub Related Equities

These firms work in a similar space as Hub within the Industrials space and serve as useful points for comparison. Looking at Hub's pricing multiples next to these peers shows if the stock trades at a premium or discount. Persistent outperformance or underperformance by specific peers relative to Hub often signals structural advantages or weaknesses.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Hub Market Strength Events

Accumulation/Distribution and Balance of Power for Hub reveal whether buying or selling pressure dominates recent sessions. Balance of Power trending positive indicates that buyers are consistently closing Hub near session highs. These signals help explain whether price direction and session structure are moving together for Hub.

Hub Risk Indicators

Risk indicator analysis for Hub quantifies how much price variability the stock has exhibited over the measurement window. Downside variance exceeding total variance indicates that negative moves in Hub have been larger or more frequent than positive ones. Mean deviation provides a more intuitive measure of typical price fluctuation than variance because it stays in the same units as Hub's price.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Hub Short Properties

Short-interest signals around Hub reveal whether skeptical positioning is starting to pressure price predictability and market tone. Comparing short sentiment with trend behavior, volume, and the broader market narrative provides a more grounded view.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding61.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments98.2 M