Hancock Whitney Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 51.0
| HWC Stock | USD 59.97 2.07 3.58% |
Hancock |
Hancock Whitney Target Price Odds to finish below 51.0
The tendency of Hancock Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 51.00 or more in 90 days |
| 59.97 | 90 days | 51.00 | about 28.89 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hancock Whitney to drop to $ 51.00 or more in 90 days from now is about 28.89 (This Hancock Whitney Corp probability density function shows the probability of Hancock Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Hancock Whitney Corp price to stay between $ 51.00 and its current price of $59.97 at the end of the 90-day period is about 69.42 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.45 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Hancock Whitney will likely underperform. Additionally Hancock Whitney Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Hancock Whitney Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Hancock Whitney
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hancock Whitney Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Hancock Whitney's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hancock Whitney Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hancock Whitney is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hancock Whitney's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hancock Whitney Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hancock Whitney within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.0007 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.45 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.30 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
Hancock Whitney Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Hancock Whitney for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Hancock Whitney Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Over 85.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Hancock Whitney Corp Trading 2.87 percent Higher on Nov 22 |
Hancock Whitney Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Hancock Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Hancock Whitney's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hancock Whitney's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 86.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 6.1 B |
Hancock Whitney Technical Analysis
Hancock Whitney's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Hancock Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Hancock Whitney Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Hancock Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Hancock Whitney Predictive Forecast Models
Hancock Whitney's time-series forecasting models is one of many Hancock Whitney's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Hancock Whitney's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Hancock Whitney Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Hancock Whitney for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Hancock Whitney Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Over 85.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Hancock Whitney Corp Trading 2.87 percent Higher on Nov 22 |
Check out Hancock Whitney Backtesting, Hancock Whitney Valuation, Hancock Whitney Correlation, Hancock Whitney Hype Analysis, Hancock Whitney Volatility, Hancock Whitney History as well as Hancock Whitney Performance. For information on how to trade Hancock Stock refer to our How to Trade Hancock Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Hancock Whitney. If investors know Hancock will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Hancock Whitney listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.188 | Dividend Share 1.4 | Earnings Share 4.46 | Revenue Per Share 15.354 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.069 |
The market value of Hancock Whitney Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Hancock that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Hancock Whitney's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Hancock Whitney's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Hancock Whitney's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Hancock Whitney's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Hancock Whitney's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Hancock Whitney is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hancock Whitney's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.