Hancock Whitney Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

HWC Stock  USD 59.97  2.07  3.58%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Hancock Whitney Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 57.22 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.19 and the sum of the absolute errors of 72.75. Hancock Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Hancock Whitney stock prices and determine the direction of Hancock Whitney Corp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Hancock Whitney's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Hancock Whitney's Receivables Turnover is projected to increase based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Asset Turnover is expected to grow to 0.05, whereas Fixed Asset Turnover is forecasted to decline to 2.10. . The current year's Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is expected to grow to about 623.6 M, whereas Common Stock Shares Outstanding is forecasted to decline to about 54.5 M.

Hancock Whitney Cash Forecast

Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Hancock Whitney's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
1989-12-31
Previous Quarter
1.1 B
Current Value
1.4 B
Quarterly Volatility
706.1 M
 
Oil Shock
 
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Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Hancock Whitney is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Hancock Whitney Corp value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Hancock Whitney Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Hancock Whitney Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 57.22 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.19, mean absolute percentage error of 2.33, and the sum of the absolute errors of 72.75.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Hancock Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Hancock Whitney's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Hancock Whitney Stock Forecast Pattern

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Hancock Whitney Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Hancock Whitney's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Hancock Whitney's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 54.66 and 59.78, respectively. We have considered Hancock Whitney's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
59.97
57.22
Expected Value
59.78
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Hancock Whitney stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Hancock Whitney stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.9548
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.1926
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0221
SAESum of the absolute errors72.7489
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Hancock Whitney Corp. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Hancock Whitney. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Hancock Whitney

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hancock Whitney Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Hancock Whitney's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
57.6060.1762.74
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
45.1347.7065.97
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
57.3359.2861.23
Details
9 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
39.3343.2247.97
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Hancock Whitney

For every potential investor in Hancock, whether a beginner or expert, Hancock Whitney's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Hancock Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Hancock. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Hancock Whitney's price trends.

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 Risk & Return  Correlation

Hancock Whitney Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Hancock Whitney's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Hancock Whitney's current price.

Hancock Whitney Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Hancock Whitney stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Hancock Whitney shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Hancock Whitney stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Hancock Whitney Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Hancock Whitney Risk Indicators

The analysis of Hancock Whitney's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Hancock Whitney's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting hancock stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether Hancock Whitney Corp offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Hancock Whitney's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Hancock Whitney Corp Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Hancock Whitney Corp Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Hancock Whitney to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Hancock Stock refer to our How to Trade Hancock Stock guide.
You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Hancock Whitney. If investors know Hancock will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Hancock Whitney listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.188
Dividend Share
1.4
Earnings Share
4.46
Revenue Per Share
15.354
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.069
The market value of Hancock Whitney Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Hancock that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Hancock Whitney's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Hancock Whitney's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Hancock Whitney's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Hancock Whitney's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Hancock Whitney's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Hancock Whitney is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hancock Whitney's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.