Hancock Whitney Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

HWC Stock  USD 63.68  0.72  1.12%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Hancock Whitney Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 60.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.86 and the sum of the absolute errors of 52.25. Hancock Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Hancock Whitney stock prices and determine the direction of Hancock Whitney Corp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Hancock Whitney's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of Hancock Whitney's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Hancock Whitney's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Hancock Whitney Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Hancock Whitney's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.12
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.4589
EPS Estimate Current Year
5.7275
EPS Estimate Next Year
6.0584
Wall Street Target Price
73.2778
Using Hancock Whitney hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Hancock Whitney Corp from the perspective of Hancock Whitney response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Hancock Whitney using Hancock Whitney's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Hancock using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Hancock Whitney's stock price.

Hancock Whitney Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Hancock Whitney's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Hancock. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Hancock Whitney stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
58.1869
Short Percent
0.0984
Short Ratio
7.99
Shares Short Prior Month
5.5 M
50 Day MA
60.8422

Hancock Whitney Corp Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Hancock Whitney's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Hancock. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Hancock can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Hancock Whitney Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Hancock Whitney's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Hancock Whitney.

Hancock Whitney Implied Volatility

    
  0.57  
Hancock Whitney's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Hancock Whitney Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Hancock Whitney's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Hancock Whitney stock will not fluctuate a lot when Hancock Whitney's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Hancock Whitney Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 60.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.86 and the sum of the absolute errors of 52.25.

Hancock Whitney after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 63.68  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Hancock Whitney to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Hancock Stock refer to our How to Trade Hancock Stock guide.The current year's Asset Turnover is expected to grow to 0.07, whereas Payables Turnover is forecasted to decline to 21.78. . The current year's Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is expected to grow to about 623.6 M, whereas Common Stock Shares Outstanding is forecasted to decline to about 55.8 M.

Open Interest Against 2026-02-20 Hancock Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Hancock Whitney's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Hancock Whitney's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Hancock Whitney stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Hancock Whitney's open interest, investors have to compare it to Hancock Whitney's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Hancock Whitney is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Hancock. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Hancock Whitney Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Hancock price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Hancock using various technical indicators. When you analyze Hancock charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Hancock Whitney Cash Forecast

Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Hancock Whitney's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
1989-12-31
Previous Quarter
1.1 B
Current Value
514.6 M
Quarterly Volatility
737.1 M
 
Oil Shock
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Hancock Whitney is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Hancock Whitney Corp value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Hancock Whitney Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 3rd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Hancock Whitney Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 60.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.86, mean absolute percentage error of 1.31, and the sum of the absolute errors of 52.25.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Hancock Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Hancock Whitney's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Hancock Whitney Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Hancock WhitneyHancock Whitney Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Hancock Whitney Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Hancock Whitney's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Hancock Whitney's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 58.81 and 62.69, respectively. We have considered Hancock Whitney's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
63.68
60.75
Expected Value
62.69
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Hancock Whitney stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Hancock Whitney stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.3791
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.8566
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0144
SAESum of the absolute errors52.2545
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Hancock Whitney Corp. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Hancock Whitney. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Hancock Whitney

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hancock Whitney Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Hancock Whitney's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
61.7563.6865.61
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
60.0061.9363.86
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
60.9564.3467.73
Details
8 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
66.6873.2881.34
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Hancock Whitney

For every potential investor in Hancock, whether a beginner or expert, Hancock Whitney's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Hancock Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Hancock. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Hancock Whitney's price trends.

Hancock Whitney Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Hancock Whitney stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Hancock Whitney could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hancock Whitney by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Hancock Whitney Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Hancock Whitney's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Hancock Whitney's current price.

Hancock Whitney Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Hancock Whitney stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Hancock Whitney shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Hancock Whitney stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Hancock Whitney Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Hancock Whitney Risk Indicators

The analysis of Hancock Whitney's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Hancock Whitney's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting hancock stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether Hancock Whitney Corp offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Hancock Whitney's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Hancock Whitney Corp Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Hancock Whitney Corp Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Hancock Whitney to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Hancock Stock refer to our How to Trade Hancock Stock guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Hancock Whitney. If investors know Hancock will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Hancock Whitney listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.12
Dividend Share
1.75
Earnings Share
5.57
Revenue Per Share
16.763
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.071
The market value of Hancock Whitney Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Hancock that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Hancock Whitney's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Hancock Whitney's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Hancock Whitney's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Hancock Whitney's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Hancock Whitney's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Hancock Whitney is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hancock Whitney's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.