Hydrofarm Holdings Group Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 5.54
| HYFM Stock | USD 0.73 0.09 14.06% |
Hydrofarm |
Hydrofarm Holdings Target Price Odds to finish over 5.54
The tendency of Hydrofarm Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 5.54 or more in 90 days |
| 0.73 | 90 days | 5.54 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hydrofarm Holdings to move over $ 5.54 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Hydrofarm Holdings Group probability density function shows the probability of Hydrofarm Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Hydrofarm Holdings price to stay between its current price of $ 0.73 and $ 5.54 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.13 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Hydrofarm Holdings Group has a beta of -0.84. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Hydrofarm Holdings are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Hydrofarm Holdings Group is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Hydrofarm Holdings Group has an alpha of 0.3885, implying that it can generate a 0.39 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Hydrofarm Holdings Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Hydrofarm Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hydrofarm Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Hydrofarm Holdings Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hydrofarm Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hydrofarm Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hydrofarm Holdings Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hydrofarm Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.39 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.84 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.07 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
Hydrofarm Holdings Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Hydrofarm Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Hydrofarm Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Hydrofarm Holdings is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Hydrofarm Holdings has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Hydrofarm Holdings appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Hydrofarm Holdings has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 226.58 M. Net Loss for the year was (64.81 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 36.8 M. | |
| About 19.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from insidermonkey.com: Hydrofarm Holdings Group, Inc. Q3 2024 Earnings Call Transcript |
Hydrofarm Holdings Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Hydrofarm Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Hydrofarm Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hydrofarm Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 45.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 30.3 M |
Hydrofarm Holdings Technical Analysis
Hydrofarm Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Hydrofarm Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Hydrofarm Holdings Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Hydrofarm Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Hydrofarm Holdings Predictive Forecast Models
Hydrofarm Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many Hydrofarm Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Hydrofarm Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Hydrofarm Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about Hydrofarm Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Hydrofarm Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Hydrofarm Holdings is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Hydrofarm Holdings has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Hydrofarm Holdings appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Hydrofarm Holdings has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 226.58 M. Net Loss for the year was (64.81 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 36.8 M. | |
| About 19.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from insidermonkey.com: Hydrofarm Holdings Group, Inc. Q3 2024 Earnings Call Transcript |
Check out Hydrofarm Holdings Backtesting, Hydrofarm Holdings Valuation, Hydrofarm Holdings Correlation, Hydrofarm Holdings Hype Analysis, Hydrofarm Holdings Volatility, Hydrofarm Holdings History as well as Hydrofarm Holdings Performance. You can also try the Content Syndication module to quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal.
Is Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Hydrofarm Holdings. If investors know Hydrofarm will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Hydrofarm Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 3.625 | Earnings Share (1.40) | Revenue Per Share 4.361 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.19) | Return On Assets (0.04) |
The market value of Hydrofarm Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Hydrofarm that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Hydrofarm Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Hydrofarm Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Hydrofarm Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Hydrofarm Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Hydrofarm Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Hydrofarm Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hydrofarm Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.