Hydrofarm Holdings Stock Forward View
| HYFM Stock | USD 1.45 0.07 5.07% |
Hydrofarm Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Hydrofarm Holdings' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Hydrofarm Holdings' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Hydrofarm Holdings fundamentals over time.
As of now the relative strength index (rsi) of Hydrofarm Holdings' share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 3.625 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter (2.92) | EPS Estimate Current Year (12.76) | Wall Street Target Price 6.5 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (3.09) |
Using Hydrofarm Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Hydrofarm Holdings Group from the perspective of Hydrofarm Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Hydrofarm Holdings Group on the next trading day is expected to be 1.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.17. Hydrofarm Holdings after-hype prediction price | USD 1.42 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Hydrofarm Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Hydrofarm price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Hydrofarm using various technical indicators. When you analyze Hydrofarm charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Hydrofarm Holdings Cash Forecast
Forecasting financial indicators like cash flow involves analysts applying various statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools reveal hidden trends within the Hydrofarm Holdings' financial statements to estimate their effects on upcoming price movements.
Cash | First Reported 2019-03-31 | Previous Quarter 11 M | Current Value 10.7 M | Quarterly Volatility 40.2 M |
Hydrofarm Holdings Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 9th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Hydrofarm Holdings Group on the next trading day is expected to be 1.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.17.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Hydrofarm Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Hydrofarm Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Hydrofarm Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Hydrofarm Holdings | Hydrofarm Holdings Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Hydrofarm Holdings Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Hydrofarm Holdings' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Hydrofarm Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 9.24, respectively. We have considered Hydrofarm Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Hydrofarm Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Hydrofarm Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.4129 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1175 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0655 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 7.1673 |
Predictive Modules for Hydrofarm Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hydrofarm Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Hydrofarm Holdings After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Hydrofarm Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Hydrofarm Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Hydrofarm Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Hydrofarm Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Hydrofarm Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Hydrofarm Holdings' historical news coverage. Hydrofarm Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.07 and 9.37, respectively. We have considered Hydrofarm Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Hydrofarm Holdings is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Hydrofarm Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Hydrofarm Holdings Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Hydrofarm Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Hydrofarm Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Hydrofarm Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.42 | 7.95 | 0.03 | 0.08 | 8 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
1.45 | 1.42 | 2.07 |
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Hydrofarm Holdings Hype Timeline
Hydrofarm Holdings is currently traded for 1.45. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.08. Hydrofarm is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 1.42. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -2.07%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.42%. The volatility of related hype on Hydrofarm Holdings is about 4068.58%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.37. About 23.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.04. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Hydrofarm Holdings recorded a loss per share of 13.4. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:10 split on the 13th of February 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Hydrofarm Holdings to cross-verify your projections.Hydrofarm Holdings Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Hydrofarm Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Hydrofarm Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how Hydrofarm Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Hydrofarm Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ZDAI | Primega Group Holdings | (0.02) | 6 per month | 7.05 | 0.03 | 19.57 | (15.00) | 57.23 | |
| ARTW | Arts Way Manufacturing Co | (0.04) | 9 per month | 4.24 | (0.02) | 5.65 | (6.06) | 24.58 | |
| YGMZ | Mingzhu Logistics Holdings | (0) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 33.33 | (36.84) | 130.11 | |
| JYD | Jayud Global Logistics | (0.09) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 9.60 | (9.09) | 28.60 | |
| MNTS | Momentus | (1.01) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 17.86 | (17.01) | 70.67 | |
| AIRI | Air Industries Group | 0.05 | 6 per month | 2.33 | 0.01 | 3.72 | (4.01) | 25.67 | |
| ILAG | Intelligent Living Application | (1.34) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 12.55 | (13.98) | 69.73 | |
| HXHX | Haoxin Holdings Limited | (0.02) | 5 per month | 8.80 | 0.04 | 7.55 | (17.65) | 301.13 | |
| INLF | INLIF LIMITED Ordinary | (0.04) | 3 per month | 10.13 | 0.07 | 9.09 | (8.93) | 353.50 | |
| NCEW | New Century Logistics | 0.56 | 6 per month | 6.00 | 0.14 | 17.35 | (9.04) | 40.32 |
Other Forecasting Options for Hydrofarm Holdings
For every potential investor in Hydrofarm, whether a beginner or expert, Hydrofarm Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Hydrofarm Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Hydrofarm. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Hydrofarm Holdings' price trends.Hydrofarm Holdings Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Hydrofarm Holdings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Hydrofarm Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hydrofarm Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Hydrofarm Holdings Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Hydrofarm Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Hydrofarm Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Hydrofarm Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Hydrofarm Holdings Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Hydrofarm Holdings Risk Indicators
The analysis of Hydrofarm Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Hydrofarm Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting hydrofarm stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.87 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 7.79 | |||
| Variance | 60.62 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Hydrofarm Holdings
The number of cover stories for Hydrofarm Holdings depends on current market conditions and Hydrofarm Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Hydrofarm Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Hydrofarm Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Hydrofarm Holdings Short Properties
Hydrofarm Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when Hydrofarm Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Hydrofarm Holdings Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Hydrofarm Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hydrofarm Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 26.1 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Hydrofarm Holdings to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Bond Analysis module to evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios..
Will Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components sector continue expanding? Could Hydrofarm diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Hydrofarm Holdings. Market participants price Hydrofarm higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Hydrofarm Holdings data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 3.625 | Earnings Share (13.40) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.28) | Return On Assets |
Investors evaluate Hydrofarm Holdings using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Hydrofarm Holdings' intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Hydrofarm Holdings' market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Hydrofarm Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Hydrofarm Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Hydrofarm Holdings' market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.