Intercorp Financial Services Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 26.47
| IFS Stock | USD 28.87 0.11 0.38% |
Intercorp |
Intercorp Financial Target Price Odds to finish below 26.47
The tendency of Intercorp Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 26.47 or more in 90 days |
| 28.87 | 90 days | 26.47 | about 57.7 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Intercorp Financial to drop to $ 26.47 or more in 90 days from now is about 57.7 (This Intercorp Financial Services probability density function shows the probability of Intercorp Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Intercorp Financial price to stay between $ 26.47 and its current price of $28.87 at the end of the 90-day period is about 38.89 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Intercorp Financial has a beta of 0.38. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Intercorp Financial average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Intercorp Financial Services will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Intercorp Financial Services has an alpha of 0.2572, implying that it can generate a 0.26 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Intercorp Financial Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Intercorp Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Intercorp Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Intercorp Financial Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Intercorp Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Intercorp Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Intercorp Financial Services, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Intercorp Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.26 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.38 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.45 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.15 |
Intercorp Financial Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Intercorp Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Intercorp Financial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 71.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Q3 2024 Intercorp Financial Services Inc Earnings Call Transcript |
Intercorp Financial Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Intercorp Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Intercorp Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Intercorp Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 115 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.5 B |
Intercorp Financial Technical Analysis
Intercorp Financial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Intercorp Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Intercorp Financial Services. In general, you should focus on analyzing Intercorp Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Intercorp Financial Predictive Forecast Models
Intercorp Financial's time-series forecasting models is one of many Intercorp Financial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Intercorp Financial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Intercorp Financial
Checking the ongoing alerts about Intercorp Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Intercorp Financial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 71.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Q3 2024 Intercorp Financial Services Inc Earnings Call Transcript |
Additional Tools for Intercorp Stock Analysis
When running Intercorp Financial's price analysis, check to measure Intercorp Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Intercorp Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Intercorp Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Intercorp Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Intercorp Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Intercorp Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.