JPMIF Bond (Germany) Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Under 226.47
| IH59 Fund | EUR 230.53 2.55 1.12% |
JPMIF |
JPMIF Bond Target Price Odds to finish below 226.47
The tendency of JPMIF Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 226.47 or more in 90 days |
| 230.53 | 90 days | 226.47 | about 86.96 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of JPMIF Bond to drop to € 226.47 or more in 90 days from now is about 86.96 (This JPMIF Bond Fund probability density function shows the probability of JPMIF Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of JPMIF Bond Fund price to stay between € 226.47 and its current price of €230.53 at the end of the 90-day period is about 12.16 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon JPMIF Bond has a beta of 0.0634. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, JPMIF Bond average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding JPMIF Bond Fund will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally JPMIF Bond Fund has an alpha of 0.0539, implying that it can generate a 0.0539 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). JPMIF Bond Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for JPMIF Bond
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as JPMIF Bond Fund. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.JPMIF Bond Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. JPMIF Bond is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the JPMIF Bond's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold JPMIF Bond Fund, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of JPMIF Bond within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.06 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.75 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.12 |
JPMIF Bond Technical Analysis
JPMIF Bond's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. JPMIF Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of JPMIF Bond Fund. In general, you should focus on analyzing JPMIF Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
JPMIF Bond Predictive Forecast Models
JPMIF Bond's time-series forecasting models is one of many JPMIF Bond's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary JPMIF Bond's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards JPMIF Bond in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, JPMIF Bond's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from JPMIF Bond options trading.
Other Information on Investing in JPMIF Fund
JPMIF Bond financial ratios help investors to determine whether JPMIF Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in JPMIF with respect to the benefits of owning JPMIF Bond security.
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