Ilyda SA (Greece) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1.86

ILYDA Stock  EUR 1.86  0.12  6.90%   
Ilyda SA's future price is the expected price of Ilyda SA instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Ilyda SA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Ilyda SA Backtesting, Ilyda SA Valuation, Ilyda SA Correlation, Ilyda SA Hype Analysis, Ilyda SA Volatility, Ilyda SA History as well as Ilyda SA Performance.
  
Please specify Ilyda SA's target price for which you would like Ilyda SA odds to be computed.

Ilyda SA Target Price Odds to finish over 1.86

The tendency of Ilyda Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 1.86 90 days 1.86 
about 13.77
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ilyda SA to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 13.77 (This Ilyda SA probability density function shows the probability of Ilyda Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Ilyda SA has a beta of -0.16. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Ilyda SA are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Ilyda SA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Ilyda SA has an alpha of 0.0524, implying that it can generate a 0.0524 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Ilyda SA Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Ilyda SA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ilyda SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.091.744.06
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.071.493.81
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.041.874.19
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.661.731.79
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Ilyda SA. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Ilyda SA's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Ilyda SA's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Ilyda SA.

Ilyda SA Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ilyda SA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ilyda SA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ilyda SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ilyda SA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.16
σ
Overall volatility
0.11
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Ilyda SA Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ilyda SA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ilyda SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ilyda SA may become a speculative penny stock
The company has €2.63 Million in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing
About 57.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Ilyda SA Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ilyda Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ilyda SA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ilyda SA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Float3.5 M

Ilyda SA Technical Analysis

Ilyda SA's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ilyda Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ilyda SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ilyda Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Ilyda SA Predictive Forecast Models

Ilyda SA's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ilyda SA's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ilyda SA's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Ilyda SA

Checking the ongoing alerts about Ilyda SA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ilyda SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ilyda SA may become a speculative penny stock
The company has €2.63 Million in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing
About 57.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Ilyda Stock

Ilyda SA financial ratios help investors to determine whether Ilyda Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Ilyda with respect to the benefits of owning Ilyda SA security.