Indospring Tbk (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 244.0
| INDS Stock | IDR 240.00 8.00 3.23% |
Indospring |
Indospring Tbk Target Price Odds to finish below 244.0
The tendency of Indospring Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 244.00 after 90 days |
| 240.00 | 90 days | 244.00 | nearly 4.94 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Indospring Tbk to stay under 244.00 after 90 days from now is nearly 4.94 (This Indospring Tbk probability density function shows the probability of Indospring Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Indospring Tbk price to stay between its current price of 240.00 and 244.00 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.78 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Indospring Tbk has a beta of 0.26. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Indospring Tbk average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Indospring Tbk will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Indospring Tbk has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Indospring Tbk Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Indospring Tbk
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Indospring Tbk. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Indospring Tbk Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Indospring Tbk is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Indospring Tbk's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Indospring Tbk, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Indospring Tbk within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.28 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.26 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 19.44 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.23 |
Indospring Tbk Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Indospring Tbk for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Indospring Tbk can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Indospring Tbk generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Indospring Tbk has accumulated about 987.83 M in cash with (260.04 B) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 88.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Indospring Tbk Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Indospring Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Indospring Tbk's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Indospring Tbk's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 656.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 75.4 B |
Indospring Tbk Technical Analysis
Indospring Tbk's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Indospring Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Indospring Tbk. In general, you should focus on analyzing Indospring Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Indospring Tbk Predictive Forecast Models
Indospring Tbk's time-series forecasting models is one of many Indospring Tbk's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Indospring Tbk's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Indospring Tbk
Checking the ongoing alerts about Indospring Tbk for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Indospring Tbk help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Indospring Tbk generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Indospring Tbk has accumulated about 987.83 M in cash with (260.04 B) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 88.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Indospring Stock
Indospring Tbk financial ratios help investors to determine whether Indospring Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Indospring with respect to the benefits of owning Indospring Tbk security.