Innodata Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 45.7

INOD Stock  USD 45.39  0.62  1.38%   
Innodata's future price is the expected price of Innodata instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Innodata performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Innodata Backtesting, Innodata Valuation, Innodata Correlation, Innodata Hype Analysis, Innodata Volatility, Innodata History as well as Innodata Performance.
For information on how to trade Innodata Stock refer to our How to Trade Innodata Stock guide.
  
At present, Innodata's Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Price To Operating Cash Flows Ratio is expected to grow to 40.73, whereas Price Earnings Ratio is projected to grow to (239.58). Please specify Innodata's target price for which you would like Innodata odds to be computed.

Innodata Target Price Odds to finish below 45.7

The tendency of Innodata Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 45.70  after 90 days
 45.39 90 days 45.70 
about 99.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Innodata to stay under $ 45.70  after 90 days from now is about 99.0 (This Innodata probability density function shows the probability of Innodata Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Innodata price to stay between its current price of $ 45.39  and $ 45.70  at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 3.5 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Innodata will likely underperform. Moreover Innodata has an alpha of 1.2929, implying that it can generate a 1.29 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Innodata Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Innodata

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Innodata. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
34.2244.8155.40
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.6821.2749.93
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
34.3844.9755.55
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
4.555.005.55
Details

Innodata Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Innodata is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Innodata's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Innodata, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Innodata within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
1.29
β
Beta against Dow Jones3.50
σ
Overall volatility
10.37
Ir
Information ratio 0.15

Innodata Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Innodata for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Innodata can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Innodata is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Innodata appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 86.78 M. Net Loss for the year was (908 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 29.31 M.
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Zacks Market Edge Highlights Innodata and TSS

Innodata Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Innodata Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Innodata's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Innodata's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding28.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments13.8 M

Innodata Technical Analysis

Innodata's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Innodata Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Innodata. In general, you should focus on analyzing Innodata Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Innodata Predictive Forecast Models

Innodata's time-series forecasting models is one of many Innodata's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Innodata's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Innodata

Checking the ongoing alerts about Innodata for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Innodata help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Innodata is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Innodata appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 86.78 M. Net Loss for the year was (908 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 29.31 M.
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Zacks Market Edge Highlights Innodata and TSS
When determining whether Innodata is a strong investment it is important to analyze Innodata's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Innodata's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Innodata Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Innodata Backtesting, Innodata Valuation, Innodata Correlation, Innodata Hype Analysis, Innodata Volatility, Innodata History as well as Innodata Performance.
For information on how to trade Innodata Stock refer to our How to Trade Innodata Stock guide.
You can also try the Efficient Frontier module to plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market..
Is Data Processing & Outsourced Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Innodata. If investors know Innodata will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Innodata listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
50
Earnings Share
0.11
Revenue Per Share
4.764
Quarterly Revenue Growth
1.356
Return On Assets
0.1351
The market value of Innodata is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Innodata that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Innodata's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Innodata's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Innodata's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Innodata's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Innodata's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Innodata is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Innodata's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.