International Seaways Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 41.86
| INSW Stock | USD 41.40 0.05 0.12% |
International |
International Seaways Target Price Odds to finish below 41.86
The tendency of International Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 41.86 after 90 days |
| 41.40 | 90 days | 41.86 | about 5.21 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of International Seaways to stay under $ 41.86 after 90 days from now is about 5.21 (This International Seaways probability density function shows the probability of International Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of International Seaways price to stay between its current price of $ 41.40 and $ 41.86 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.2 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days International Seaways has a beta of 0.97. This usually indicates International Seaways market returns are correlated to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, International Seaways is expected to follow. Additionally International Seaways has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. International Seaways Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for International Seaways
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as International Seaways. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of International Seaways' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
International Seaways Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. International Seaways is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the International Seaways' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold International Seaways, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of International Seaways within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.33 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.97 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.72 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.18 |
International Seaways Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of International Seaways for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for International Seaways can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| International Seaways generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| International Seaways is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| International Seaways has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 67.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 25th of September 2024 International Seaways paid $ 1.5 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 4351 shares by Lois Zabrocky of International Seaways subject to Rule 16b-3 |
International Seaways Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of International Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential International Seaways' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. International Seaways' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 49.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 186.8 M |
International Seaways Technical Analysis
International Seaways' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. International Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of International Seaways. In general, you should focus on analyzing International Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
International Seaways Predictive Forecast Models
International Seaways' time-series forecasting models is one of many International Seaways' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary International Seaways' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about International Seaways
Checking the ongoing alerts about International Seaways for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for International Seaways help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| International Seaways generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| International Seaways is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| International Seaways has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 67.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 25th of September 2024 International Seaways paid $ 1.5 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 4351 shares by Lois Zabrocky of International Seaways subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Additional Tools for International Stock Analysis
When running International Seaways' price analysis, check to measure International Seaways' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy International Seaways is operating at the current time. Most of International Seaways' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of International Seaways' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move International Seaways' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of International Seaways to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.