Intrepid Potash Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 25.28
| IPI Stock | USD 28.29 0.49 1.76% |
Intrepid |
Intrepid Potash Target Price Odds to finish over 25.28
The tendency of Intrepid Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 25.28 in 90 days |
| 28.29 | 90 days | 25.28 | about 38.09 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Intrepid Potash to stay above $ 25.28 in 90 days from now is about 38.09 (This Intrepid Potash probability density function shows the probability of Intrepid Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Intrepid Potash price to stay between $ 25.28 and its current price of $28.29 at the end of the 90-day period is about 36.85 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Intrepid Potash has a beta of 0.35. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Intrepid Potash average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Intrepid Potash will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Intrepid Potash has an alpha of 0.3045, implying that it can generate a 0.3 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Intrepid Potash Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Intrepid Potash
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Intrepid Potash. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Intrepid Potash Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Intrepid Potash is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Intrepid Potash's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Intrepid Potash, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Intrepid Potash within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.30 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.35 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.55 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
Intrepid Potash Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Intrepid Potash for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Intrepid Potash can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The company reported the last year's revenue of 279.08 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (35.67 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 141.41 M. | |
| Intrepid Potash has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 26.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Brazil Potash Corp. Plans to Raise 71 Million in November 26th IPO |
Intrepid Potash Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Intrepid Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Intrepid Potash's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Intrepid Potash's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 12.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 7 M |
Intrepid Potash Technical Analysis
Intrepid Potash's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Intrepid Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Intrepid Potash. In general, you should focus on analyzing Intrepid Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Intrepid Potash Predictive Forecast Models
Intrepid Potash's time-series forecasting models is one of many Intrepid Potash's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Intrepid Potash's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Intrepid Potash
Checking the ongoing alerts about Intrepid Potash for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Intrepid Potash help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 279.08 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (35.67 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 141.41 M. | |
| Intrepid Potash has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 26.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Brazil Potash Corp. Plans to Raise 71 Million in November 26th IPO |
Check out Intrepid Potash Backtesting, Intrepid Potash Valuation, Intrepid Potash Correlation, Intrepid Potash Hype Analysis, Intrepid Potash Volatility, Intrepid Potash History as well as Intrepid Potash Performance. For more detail on how to invest in Intrepid Stock please use our How to Invest in Intrepid Potash guide.You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.
Is Fertilizers & Agricultural Chemicals space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Intrepid Potash. If investors know Intrepid will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Intrepid Potash listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.81) | Earnings Share (3.38) | Revenue Per Share 16.057 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.06 | Return On Assets (0) |
The market value of Intrepid Potash is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Intrepid that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Intrepid Potash's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Intrepid Potash's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Intrepid Potash's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Intrepid Potash's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Intrepid Potash's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Intrepid Potash is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Intrepid Potash's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.