Indopoly Swakarsa (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 125.00

IPOL Stock  IDR 125.00  1.00  0.79%   
Indopoly Swakarsa's future price is the expected price of Indopoly Swakarsa instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Indopoly Swakarsa Industry performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Indopoly Swakarsa Backtesting, Indopoly Swakarsa Valuation, Indopoly Swakarsa Correlation, Indopoly Swakarsa Hype Analysis, Indopoly Swakarsa Volatility, Indopoly Swakarsa History as well as Indopoly Swakarsa Performance.
  
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Indopoly Swakarsa Target Price Odds to finish over 125.00

The tendency of Indopoly Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 125.00 90 days 125.00 
about 66.39
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Indopoly Swakarsa to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 66.39 (This Indopoly Swakarsa Industry probability density function shows the probability of Indopoly Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Indopoly Swakarsa has a beta of 0.0995. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Indopoly Swakarsa average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Indopoly Swakarsa Industry will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Indopoly Swakarsa Industry has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Indopoly Swakarsa Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Indopoly Swakarsa

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Indopoly Swakarsa. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
122.87125.00127.13
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
104.34106.47137.50
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
123.78125.91128.04
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
121.46125.25129.04
Details

Indopoly Swakarsa Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Indopoly Swakarsa is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Indopoly Swakarsa's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Indopoly Swakarsa Industry, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Indopoly Swakarsa within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0022
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.1
σ
Overall volatility
2.08
Ir
Information ratio -0.0031

Indopoly Swakarsa Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Indopoly Swakarsa for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Indopoly Swakarsa can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 81.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Indopoly Swakarsa Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Indopoly Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Indopoly Swakarsa's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Indopoly Swakarsa's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding6.4 B
Cash And Short Term Investments23.9 M

Indopoly Swakarsa Technical Analysis

Indopoly Swakarsa's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Indopoly Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Indopoly Swakarsa Industry. In general, you should focus on analyzing Indopoly Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Indopoly Swakarsa Predictive Forecast Models

Indopoly Swakarsa's time-series forecasting models is one of many Indopoly Swakarsa's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Indopoly Swakarsa's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Indopoly Swakarsa

Checking the ongoing alerts about Indopoly Swakarsa for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Indopoly Swakarsa help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 81.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Indopoly Stock

Indopoly Swakarsa financial ratios help investors to determine whether Indopoly Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Indopoly with respect to the benefits of owning Indopoly Swakarsa security.