Investar Holding Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 23.68
| ISTR Stock | USD 24.36 0.54 2.27% |
Investar |
Investar Holding Target Price Odds to finish over 23.68
The tendency of Investar Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 23.68 in 90 days |
| 24.36 | 90 days | 23.68 | under 4 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Investar Holding to stay above $ 23.68 in 90 days from now is under 4 (This Investar Holding Corp probability density function shows the probability of Investar Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Investar Holding Corp price to stay between $ 23.68 and its current price of $24.36 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.15 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.84 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Investar Holding will likely underperform. Additionally Investar Holding Corp has an alpha of 0.2377, implying that it can generate a 0.24 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Investar Holding Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Investar Holding
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Investar Holding Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Investar Holding's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Investar Holding Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Investar Holding is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Investar Holding's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Investar Holding Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Investar Holding within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.24 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.84 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.99 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.15 |
Investar Holding Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Investar Holding for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Investar Holding Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 64.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 31st of October 2024 Investar Holding paid $ 0.105 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Scott Ginn Acquires 8,475 Shares of Investar Holding Corp |
Investar Holding Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Investar Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Investar Holding's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Investar Holding's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 9.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 390.2 M |
Investar Holding Technical Analysis
Investar Holding's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Investar Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Investar Holding Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Investar Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Investar Holding Predictive Forecast Models
Investar Holding's time-series forecasting models is one of many Investar Holding's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Investar Holding's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Investar Holding Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Investar Holding for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Investar Holding Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 64.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 31st of October 2024 Investar Holding paid $ 0.105 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Scott Ginn Acquires 8,475 Shares of Investar Holding Corp |
Additional Tools for Investar Stock Analysis
When running Investar Holding's price analysis, check to measure Investar Holding's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Investar Holding is operating at the current time. Most of Investar Holding's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Investar Holding's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Investar Holding's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Investar Holding to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.