Jaya Agra (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 114.00
| JAWA Stock | IDR 114.00 3.00 2.56% |
Jaya |
Jaya Agra Target Price Odds to finish over 114.00
The tendency of Jaya Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 114.00 | 90 days | 114.00 | about 85.15 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Jaya Agra to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 85.15 (This Jaya Agra Wattie probability density function shows the probability of Jaya Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Jaya Agra has a beta of 0.34. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Jaya Agra average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Jaya Agra Wattie will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Jaya Agra Wattie has an alpha of 0.0791, implying that it can generate a 0.0791 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Jaya Agra Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Jaya Agra
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jaya Agra Wattie. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Jaya Agra Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Jaya Agra is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Jaya Agra's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Jaya Agra Wattie, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Jaya Agra within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.34 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 10.29 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0002 |
Jaya Agra Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Jaya Agra for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Jaya Agra Wattie can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Jaya Agra Wattie generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Jaya Agra Wattie has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Jaya Agra Wattie has accumulated 2.1 T in total debt. Jaya Agra Wattie has a current ratio of 0.51, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Jaya Agra until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Jaya Agra's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Jaya Agra Wattie sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Jaya to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Jaya Agra's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 843.2 B. Net Loss for the year was (177.49 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 101.76 B. | |
| Jaya Agra Wattie has accumulated about 11.24 B in cash with (128.23 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.98. | |
| Roughly 80.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Jaya Agra Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Jaya Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Jaya Agra's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Jaya Agra's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.8 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 12.8 B |
Jaya Agra Technical Analysis
Jaya Agra's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Jaya Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Jaya Agra Wattie. In general, you should focus on analyzing Jaya Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Jaya Agra Predictive Forecast Models
Jaya Agra's time-series forecasting models is one of many Jaya Agra's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Jaya Agra's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Jaya Agra Wattie
Checking the ongoing alerts about Jaya Agra for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Jaya Agra Wattie help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Jaya Agra Wattie generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Jaya Agra Wattie has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Jaya Agra Wattie has accumulated 2.1 T in total debt. Jaya Agra Wattie has a current ratio of 0.51, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Jaya Agra until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Jaya Agra's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Jaya Agra Wattie sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Jaya to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Jaya Agra's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 843.2 B. Net Loss for the year was (177.49 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 101.76 B. | |
| Jaya Agra Wattie has accumulated about 11.24 B in cash with (128.23 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.98. | |
| Roughly 80.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Jaya Stock
Jaya Agra financial ratios help investors to determine whether Jaya Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Jaya with respect to the benefits of owning Jaya Agra security.