Aberdeen Japan Equity Fund Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Over 5.75
| JEQ Fund | USD 5.75 0.06 1.05% |
Aberdeen |
Aberdeen Japan Target Price Odds to finish over 5.75
The tendency of Aberdeen Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 5.75 | 90 days | 5.75 | about 80.92 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Aberdeen Japan to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 80.92 (This Aberdeen Japan Equity probability density function shows the probability of Aberdeen Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Aberdeen Japan has a beta of 0.67. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Aberdeen Japan average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Aberdeen Japan Equity will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Aberdeen Japan Equity has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Aberdeen Japan Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Aberdeen Japan
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aberdeen Japan Equity. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Aberdeen Japan's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Aberdeen Japan Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Aberdeen Japan is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Aberdeen Japan's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Aberdeen Japan Equity, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Aberdeen Japan within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.16 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.67 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.16 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.19 |
Aberdeen Japan Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Aberdeen Japan for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Aberdeen Japan Equity can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Aberdeen Japan generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: 1607 Capital Partners, LLC Reduces Stake in Aberdeen Japan Equit - GuruFocus.com | |
| The fund generated three year return of -5.0% |
Aberdeen Japan Technical Analysis
Aberdeen Japan's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Aberdeen Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Aberdeen Japan Equity. In general, you should focus on analyzing Aberdeen Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Aberdeen Japan Predictive Forecast Models
Aberdeen Japan's time-series forecasting models is one of many Aberdeen Japan's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Aberdeen Japan's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Aberdeen Japan Equity
Checking the ongoing alerts about Aberdeen Japan for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Aberdeen Japan Equity help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Aberdeen Japan generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: 1607 Capital Partners, LLC Reduces Stake in Aberdeen Japan Equit - GuruFocus.com | |
| The fund generated three year return of -5.0% |
Other Information on Investing in Aberdeen Fund
Aberdeen Japan financial ratios help investors to determine whether Aberdeen Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Aberdeen with respect to the benefits of owning Aberdeen Japan security.
| Watchlist Optimization Optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm | |
| Portfolio File Import Quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format |