John Marshall Bancorp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 8.96
| JMSB Stock | USD 23.62 0.64 2.79% |
John |
John Marshall Target Price Odds to finish below 8.96
The tendency of John Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 8.96 or more in 90 days |
| 23.62 | 90 days | 8.96 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of John Marshall to drop to $ 8.96 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This John Marshall Bancorp probability density function shows the probability of John Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of John Marshall Bancorp price to stay between $ 8.96 and its current price of $23.62 at the end of the 90-day period is about 91.87 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.35 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, John Marshall will likely underperform. Additionally John Marshall Bancorp has an alpha of 0.1009, implying that it can generate a 0.1 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). John Marshall Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for John Marshall
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as John Marshall Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of John Marshall's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
John Marshall Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. John Marshall is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the John Marshall's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold John Marshall Bancorp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of John Marshall within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.10 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.35 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.09 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
John Marshall Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of John Marshall for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for John Marshall Bancorp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| John Marshall has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 12.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Dont Ignore The Insider Selling In John Marshall Bancorp |
John Marshall Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of John Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential John Marshall's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. John Marshall's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 14.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 177.4 M |
John Marshall Technical Analysis
John Marshall's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. John Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of John Marshall Bancorp. In general, you should focus on analyzing John Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
John Marshall Predictive Forecast Models
John Marshall's time-series forecasting models is one of many John Marshall's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary John Marshall's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about John Marshall Bancorp
Checking the ongoing alerts about John Marshall for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for John Marshall Bancorp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| John Marshall has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 12.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Dont Ignore The Insider Selling In John Marshall Bancorp |
Check out John Marshall Backtesting, John Marshall Valuation, John Marshall Correlation, John Marshall Hype Analysis, John Marshall Volatility, John Marshall History as well as John Marshall Performance. You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of John Marshall. If investors know John will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about John Marshall listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.15) | Dividend Share 0.25 | Earnings Share 1.18 | Revenue Per Share 3.762 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.05) |
The market value of John Marshall Bancorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of John that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of John Marshall's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is John Marshall's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because John Marshall's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect John Marshall's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between John Marshall's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if John Marshall is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, John Marshall's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.