John Marshall Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| JMSB Stock | USD 20.63 0.63 3.15% |
John Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast John Marshall stock prices and determine the direction of John Marshall Bancorp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of John Marshall's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, The value of RSI of John Marshall's share price is at 54. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling John Marshall, making its price go up or down. Momentum 54
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using John Marshall hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of John Marshall Bancorp from the perspective of John Marshall response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of John Marshall Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 20.48 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.46 and the sum of the absolute errors of 27.90. John Marshall after-hype prediction price | USD 20.63 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of John Marshall to cross-verify your projections. John Marshall Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine John price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for John using various technical indicators. When you analyze John charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
John Marshall Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 31st of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of John Marshall Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 20.48 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.46, mean absolute percentage error of 0.32, and the sum of the absolute errors of 27.90.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict John Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that John Marshall's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
John Marshall Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest John Marshall | John Marshall Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
John Marshall Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting John Marshall's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. John Marshall's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 18.18 and 22.77, respectively. We have considered John Marshall's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of John Marshall stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent John Marshall stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.9674 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4573 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0227 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 27.8978 |
Predictive Modules for John Marshall
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as John Marshall Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of John Marshall's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
John Marshall After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of John Marshall at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in John Marshall or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of John Marshall, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
John Marshall Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting John Marshall's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on John Marshall's historical news coverage. John Marshall's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 18.33 and 22.93, respectively. We have considered John Marshall's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
John Marshall is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of John Marshall Bancorp is based on 3 months time horizon.
John Marshall Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as John Marshall is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading John Marshall backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with John Marshall, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.16 | 2.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
20.63 | 20.63 | 0.00 |
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John Marshall Hype Timeline
John Marshall Bancorp is currently traded for 20.63. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. John is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.16%. %. The volatility of related hype on John Marshall is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 20.63. About 13.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.09. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. John Marshall Bancorp last dividend was issued on the 11th of February 2026. The entity had 125:100 split on the 6th of September 2017. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of John Marshall to cross-verify your projections.John Marshall Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to John Marshall's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict John Marshall's future price movements. Getting to know how John Marshall's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how John Marshall may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MBCN | Middlefield Banc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.96 | (0.01) | 3.67 | (2.93) | 11.23 | |
| FINW | Finwise Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.25 | (2.19) | 5.97 | |
| FNLC | First Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.06 | 0.07 | 3.44 | (1.99) | 7.07 | |
| ISBA | Isabella Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.44 | 0.13 | 5.70 | (4.19) | 20.02 | |
| CBAN | Colony Bankcorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.88 | 0.18 | 2.96 | (1.54) | 9.02 | |
| PLBC | Plumas Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.62 | 0.16 | 3.00 | (1.59) | 11.73 | |
| WSBF | Waterstone Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.95 | 0.16 | 2.59 | (2.52) | 8.13 | |
| NECB | Northeast Community Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.18 | 0.14 | 3.45 | (2.26) | 7.53 | |
| CZFS | Citizens Financial Services | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.78 | 0.08 | 4.15 | (2.86) | 10.38 | |
| TSBK | Timberland Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.08 | 0.14 | 3.45 | (1.95) | 8.74 |
Other Forecasting Options for John Marshall
For every potential investor in John, whether a beginner or expert, John Marshall's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. John Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in John. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying John Marshall's price trends.John Marshall Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with John Marshall stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of John Marshall could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing John Marshall by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
John Marshall Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how John Marshall stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading John Marshall shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying John Marshall stock market strength indicators, traders can identify John Marshall Bancorp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
John Marshall Risk Indicators
The analysis of John Marshall's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in John Marshall's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting john stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.57 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.64 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.3 | |||
| Variance | 5.28 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.67 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.69 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.75) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for John Marshall
The number of cover stories for John Marshall depends on current market conditions and John Marshall's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that John Marshall is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about John Marshall's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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John Marshall Short Properties
John Marshall's future price predictability will typically decrease when John Marshall's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of John Marshall Bancorp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential John Marshall's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. John Marshall's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 14.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 143.3 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of John Marshall to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the USA ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) in USA.
Is Stock space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of John Marshall. Expected growth trajectory for John significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive John Marshall assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Investors evaluate John Marshall Bancorp using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating John Marshall's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause John Marshall's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that John Marshall's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether John Marshall represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, John Marshall's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.