Navient Sr Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 20.62
| JSM Stock | USD 20.02 0.26 1.32% |
Navient |
Navient SR Target Price Odds to finish below 20.62
The tendency of Navient Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 20.62 after 90 days |
| 20.02 | 90 days | 20.62 | about 83.08 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Navient SR to stay under $ 20.62 after 90 days from now is about 83.08 (This Navient SR probability density function shows the probability of Navient Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Navient SR price to stay between its current price of $ 20.02 and $ 20.62 at the end of the 90-day period is about 59.08 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Navient SR has a beta of 0.18. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Navient SR average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Navient SR will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Navient SR has an alpha of 0.0101, implying that it can generate a 0.0101 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Navient SR Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Navient SR
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Navient SR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Navient SR's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Navient SR Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Navient SR is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Navient SR's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Navient SR, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Navient SR within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.18 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.36 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
Navient SR Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Navient SR for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Navient SR can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Navient SR has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Navient Corp Shares Up 2.95 percent on Nov 22 |
Navient SR Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Navient Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Navient SR's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Navient SR's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 123 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 839 M |
Navient SR Technical Analysis
Navient SR's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Navient Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Navient SR. In general, you should focus on analyzing Navient Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Navient SR Predictive Forecast Models
Navient SR's time-series forecasting models is one of many Navient SR's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Navient SR's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Navient SR
Checking the ongoing alerts about Navient SR for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Navient SR help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Navient SR has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Navient Corp Shares Up 2.95 percent on Nov 22 |
Check out Navient SR Backtesting, Navient SR Valuation, Navient SR Correlation, Navient SR Hype Analysis, Navient SR Volatility, Navient SR History as well as Navient SR Performance. To learn how to invest in Navient Stock, please use our How to Invest in Navient SR guide.You can also try the Headlines Timeline module to stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity.
Is Oil & Gas Exploration & Production space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Navient SR. If investors know Navient will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Navient SR listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Dividend Share 0.64 |
The market value of Navient SR is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Navient that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Navient SR's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Navient SR's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Navient SR's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Navient SR's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Navient SR's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Navient SR is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Navient SR's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.