Kadant Inc Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 396.11

KAI Stock  USD 408.42  15.73  4.01%   
Kadant's future price is the expected price of Kadant instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Kadant Inc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Kadant Backtesting, Kadant Valuation, Kadant Correlation, Kadant Hype Analysis, Kadant Volatility, Kadant History as well as Kadant Performance.
  
As of now, Kadant's Price Earnings Ratio is increasing as compared to previous years. The Kadant's current Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is estimated to increase to 0.48, while Price To Sales Ratio is projected to decrease to 1.95. Please specify Kadant's target price for which you would like Kadant odds to be computed.

Kadant Target Price Odds to finish below 396.11

The tendency of Kadant Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 396.11  or more in 90 days
 408.42 90 days 396.11 
about 98.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kadant to drop to $ 396.11  or more in 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This Kadant Inc probability density function shows the probability of Kadant Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Kadant Inc price to stay between $ 396.11  and its current price of $408.42 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.22 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.9 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Kadant will likely underperform. Additionally Kadant Inc has an alpha of 0.2323, implying that it can generate a 0.23 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Kadant Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Kadant

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kadant Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
407.52409.64411.76
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
329.32331.44449.26
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
380.85382.97385.09
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
193.22212.33235.69
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Kadant. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Kadant's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Kadant's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Kadant Inc.

Kadant Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kadant is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kadant's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kadant Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kadant within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.23
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.90
σ
Overall volatility
28.81
Ir
Information ratio 0.15

Kadant Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kadant for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kadant Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 7th of November 2024 Kadant paid $ 0.32 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Heres Why You Should Retain Stanley Black Stock in Your Portfolio for Now

Kadant Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Kadant Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Kadant's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kadant's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding11.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments103.8 M

Kadant Technical Analysis

Kadant's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kadant Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kadant Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kadant Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Kadant Predictive Forecast Models

Kadant's time-series forecasting models is one of many Kadant's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kadant's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Kadant Inc

Checking the ongoing alerts about Kadant for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Kadant Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 7th of November 2024 Kadant paid $ 0.32 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Heres Why You Should Retain Stanley Black Stock in Your Portfolio for Now
When determining whether Kadant Inc offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Kadant's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Kadant Inc Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Kadant Inc Stock:
Check out Kadant Backtesting, Kadant Valuation, Kadant Correlation, Kadant Hype Analysis, Kadant Volatility, Kadant History as well as Kadant Performance.
You can also try the Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.
Is Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Kadant. If investors know Kadant will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Kadant listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.019
Dividend Share
1.25
Earnings Share
9.77
Revenue Per Share
88.153
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.112
The market value of Kadant Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Kadant that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Kadant's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Kadant's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Kadant's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Kadant's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Kadant's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Kadant is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Kadant's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.