Ictsi Jasa (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4609.5
| KARW Stock | IDR 6,650 600.00 9.92% |
Ictsi |
Ictsi Jasa Target Price Odds to finish over 4609.5
The tendency of Ictsi Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 4,610 in 90 days |
| 6,650 | 90 days | 4,610 | about 22.57 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ictsi Jasa to stay above 4,610 in 90 days from now is about 22.57 (This Ictsi Jasa Prima probability density function shows the probability of Ictsi Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ictsi Jasa Prima price to stay between 4,610 and its current price of 6650.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 20.92 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Ictsi Jasa Prima has a beta of -0.6. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Ictsi Jasa are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Ictsi Jasa Prima is likely to outperform the market. Moreover Ictsi Jasa Prima has an alpha of 1.5922, implying that it can generate a 1.59 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Ictsi Jasa Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Ictsi Jasa
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ictsi Jasa Prima. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Ictsi Jasa Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ictsi Jasa is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ictsi Jasa's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ictsi Jasa Prima, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ictsi Jasa within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.59 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.6 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1,482 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.16 |
Ictsi Jasa Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ictsi Jasa for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ictsi Jasa Prima can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Ictsi Jasa Prima is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Ictsi Jasa Prima appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Ictsi Jasa Prima has accumulated 12.99 K in total debt. Ictsi Jasa Prima has a current ratio of 0.11, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Ictsi Jasa until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Ictsi Jasa's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Ictsi Jasa Prima sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Ictsi to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Ictsi Jasa's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 2.93 M. Net Loss for the year was (588.29 K) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (497.53 K). | |
| About 80.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Ictsi Jasa Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ictsi Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ictsi Jasa's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ictsi Jasa's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 587.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.4 M |
Ictsi Jasa Technical Analysis
Ictsi Jasa's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ictsi Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ictsi Jasa Prima. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ictsi Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Ictsi Jasa Predictive Forecast Models
Ictsi Jasa's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ictsi Jasa's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ictsi Jasa's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Ictsi Jasa Prima
Checking the ongoing alerts about Ictsi Jasa for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ictsi Jasa Prima help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Ictsi Jasa Prima is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Ictsi Jasa Prima appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Ictsi Jasa Prima has accumulated 12.99 K in total debt. Ictsi Jasa Prima has a current ratio of 0.11, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Ictsi Jasa until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Ictsi Jasa's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Ictsi Jasa Prima sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Ictsi to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Ictsi Jasa's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 2.93 M. Net Loss for the year was (588.29 K) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (497.53 K). | |
| About 80.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Ictsi Stock
Ictsi Jasa financial ratios help investors to determine whether Ictsi Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Ictsi with respect to the benefits of owning Ictsi Jasa security.