Kasten Inc Stock Chance of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 42.96

KAST Stock  USD 0.01  0  46.34%   
Kasten's future price is the expected price of Kasten instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Kasten Inc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Kasten Backtesting, Kasten Valuation, Kasten Correlation, Kasten Hype Analysis, Kasten Volatility, Kasten History as well as Kasten Performance.
  
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Kasten Target Price Odds to finish over 42.96

The tendency of Kasten Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 42.96  or more in 90 days
 0.01 90 days 42.96 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kasten to move over $ 42.96  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Kasten Inc probability density function shows the probability of Kasten Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Kasten Inc price to stay between its current price of $ 0.01  and $ 42.96  at the end of the 90-day period is about 10.19 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Kasten Inc has a beta of -3.08. This indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Kasten Inc are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Kasten is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Kasten Inc has an alpha of 0.84, implying that it can generate a 0.84 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Kasten Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Kasten

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kasten Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Kasten's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.00015.74
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.00015.74
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.000078015.74
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
00.010.01
Details

Kasten Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kasten is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kasten's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kasten Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kasten within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.84
β
Beta against Dow Jones-3.08
σ
Overall volatility
0
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

Kasten Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kasten for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kasten Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Kasten Inc is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Kasten Inc has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Kasten Inc appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Kasten Inc has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (37.63 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Kasten generates negative cash flow from operations

Kasten Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Kasten Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Kasten's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kasten's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Short Long Term Debt29 K

Kasten Technical Analysis

Kasten's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kasten Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kasten Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kasten Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Kasten Predictive Forecast Models

Kasten's time-series forecasting models is one of many Kasten's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kasten's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Kasten Inc

Checking the ongoing alerts about Kasten for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Kasten Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Kasten Inc is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Kasten Inc has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Kasten Inc appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Kasten Inc has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (37.63 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Kasten generates negative cash flow from operations

Additional Tools for Kasten Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Kasten's price analysis, check to measure Kasten's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kasten is operating at the current time. Most of Kasten's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kasten's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kasten's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kasten to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.