Kemper Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 58.95
| KMPR Stock | USD 70.79 0.50 0.71% |
Closest to current price Kemper long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Kemper |
Kemper Target Price Odds to finish over 58.95
The tendency of Kemper Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 58.95 in 90 days |
| 70.79 | 90 days | 58.95 | about 87.56 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kemper to stay above $ 58.95 in 90 days from now is about 87.56 (This Kemper probability density function shows the probability of Kemper Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Kemper price to stay between $ 58.95 and its current price of $70.79 at the end of the 90-day period is about 82.5 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Kemper has a beta of 0.95. This indicates Kemper market returns are sensible to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Kemper is expected to follow. Additionally Kemper has an alpha of 0.0853, implying that it can generate a 0.0853 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Kemper Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Kemper
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kemper. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Kemper Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kemper is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kemper's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kemper, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kemper within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.95 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.24 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
Kemper Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kemper for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kemper can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Kemper currently holds 1.39 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.51, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Kemper has a current ratio of 0.89, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Kemper's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 4.94 B. Net Loss for the year was (272.3 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.07 B. | |
| Kemper currently holds about 578.8 M in cash with (134.2 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 9.06. | |
| Kemper has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 86.0% of Kemper shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: AON Stock Rises 42.6 percent in Six Months Get It or Let It Go |
Kemper Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Kemper Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Kemper's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kemper's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 64 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 587 M |
Kemper Technical Analysis
Kemper's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kemper Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kemper. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kemper Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Kemper Predictive Forecast Models
Kemper's time-series forecasting models is one of many Kemper's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kemper's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Kemper
Checking the ongoing alerts about Kemper for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Kemper help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Kemper currently holds 1.39 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.51, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Kemper has a current ratio of 0.89, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Kemper's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 4.94 B. Net Loss for the year was (272.3 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.07 B. | |
| Kemper currently holds about 578.8 M in cash with (134.2 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 9.06. | |
| Kemper has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 86.0% of Kemper shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: AON Stock Rises 42.6 percent in Six Months Get It or Let It Go |
Additional Tools for Kemper Stock Analysis
When running Kemper's price analysis, check to measure Kemper's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kemper is operating at the current time. Most of Kemper's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kemper's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kemper's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kemper to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.