Kemper Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

KMPR Stock  USD 39.81  0.00  0.00%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Kemper on the next trading day is expected to be 37.65 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.42 and the sum of the absolute errors of 147.91. Kemper Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Kemper's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Kemper's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Kemper fundamentals over time.
The relative strength indicator of Kemper's share price is below 30 as of today. This indicates that the stock is becoming oversold or undervalued. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Kemper, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 28

 Sell Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Kemper's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Kemper and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Kemper's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Kemper, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Kemper's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.03)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.3019
EPS Estimate Current Year
4.232
EPS Estimate Next Year
5.1445
Wall Street Target Price
59.6
Using Kemper hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Kemper from the perspective of Kemper response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Kemper using Kemper's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Kemper using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Kemper's stock price.

Kemper Short Interest

An investor who is long Kemper may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Kemper and may potentially protect profits, hedge Kemper with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
54.09
Short Percent
0.0349
Short Ratio
2.36
Shares Short Prior Month
2.8 M
50 Day MA
40.8284

Kemper Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Kemper's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Kemper. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Kemper can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Kemper. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Kemper's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Kemper.

Kemper Implied Volatility

    
  0.98  
Kemper's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Kemper stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Kemper's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Kemper stock will not fluctuate a lot when Kemper's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Kemper on the next trading day is expected to be 37.65 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.42 and the sum of the absolute errors of 147.91.

Kemper after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 39.53  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Kemper to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Kemper Stock, please use our How to Invest in Kemper guide.At this time, Kemper's Receivables Turnover is relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 01/05/2026, Fixed Asset Turnover is likely to grow to 422.19, while Inventory Turnover is likely to drop (1.55). . As of 01/05/2026, Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to grow to about 58.3 M, though Net Loss is likely to grow to (257.5 M).

Open Interest Against 2026-02-20 Kemper Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Kemper's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Kemper's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Kemper stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Kemper's open interest, investors have to compare it to Kemper's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Kemper is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Kemper. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Kemper Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Kemper price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Kemper using various technical indicators. When you analyze Kemper charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Kemper price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Kemper Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 6th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Kemper on the next trading day is expected to be 37.65 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.42, mean absolute percentage error of 9.06, and the sum of the absolute errors of 147.91.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Kemper Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Kemper's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Kemper Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest KemperKemper Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Kemper Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Kemper's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Kemper's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 34.94 and 40.35, respectively. We have considered Kemper's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
39.81
37.65
Expected Value
40.35
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Kemper stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Kemper stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria120.3139
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation2.4248
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0596
SAESum of the absolute errors147.9149
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Kemper historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Kemper

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kemper. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
36.8539.5342.21
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
38.6341.3143.99
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
38.6440.2741.90
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
54.2459.6066.16
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Kemper

For every potential investor in Kemper, whether a beginner or expert, Kemper's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Kemper Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Kemper. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Kemper's price trends.

Kemper Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Kemper stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Kemper could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Kemper by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Kemper Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Kemper's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Kemper's current price.

Kemper Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Kemper stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Kemper shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Kemper stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Kemper entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Kemper Risk Indicators

The analysis of Kemper's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Kemper's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting kemper stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Kemper

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Kemper position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Kemper will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against Kemper Stock

  0.69HGTY HagertyPairCorr
  0.69SPNT SiriuspointPairCorr
  0.59CB ChubbPairCorr
  0.58TRV The Travelers CompaniesPairCorr
  0.56AIZ AssurantPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Kemper could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Kemper when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Kemper - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Kemper to buy it.
The correlation of Kemper is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Kemper moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Kemper moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Kemper can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Additional Tools for Kemper Stock Analysis

When running Kemper's price analysis, check to measure Kemper's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kemper is operating at the current time. Most of Kemper's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kemper's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kemper's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kemper to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.