Kosmos Energy Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.41
| KOS Stock | USD 3.94 0.04 1.03% |
Kosmos |
Kosmos Energy Target Price Odds to finish below 1.41
The tendency of Kosmos Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 1.41 or more in 90 days |
| 3.94 | 90 days | 1.41 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kosmos Energy to drop to $ 1.41 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Kosmos Energy probability density function shows the probability of Kosmos Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Kosmos Energy price to stay between $ 1.41 and its current price of $3.94 at the end of the 90-day period is about 28.66 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.11 . This indicates Kosmos Energy market returns are related to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Kosmos Energy is expected to follow. Additionally Kosmos Energy has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Kosmos Energy Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Kosmos Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kosmos Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Kosmos Energy Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kosmos Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kosmos Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kosmos Energy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kosmos Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.44 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.11 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.32 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.12 |
Kosmos Energy Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kosmos Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kosmos Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Kosmos Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Kosmos Energy has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Kosmos Energy has 2.39 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 2.58, meaning that the company heavily relies on borrowing funds for operations. Kosmos Energy has a current ratio of 0.91, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Kosmos to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| Kosmos Energy has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 98.0% of Kosmos Energy shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Is Kosmos Energy Ltd. Trading At A 45 percent Discount |
Kosmos Energy Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Kosmos Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Kosmos Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kosmos Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 481.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 95.3 M |
Kosmos Energy Technical Analysis
Kosmos Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kosmos Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kosmos Energy. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kosmos Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Kosmos Energy Predictive Forecast Models
Kosmos Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Kosmos Energy's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kosmos Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Kosmos Energy
Checking the ongoing alerts about Kosmos Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Kosmos Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Kosmos Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Kosmos Energy has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Kosmos Energy has 2.39 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 2.58, meaning that the company heavily relies on borrowing funds for operations. Kosmos Energy has a current ratio of 0.91, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Kosmos to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| Kosmos Energy has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 98.0% of Kosmos Energy shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Is Kosmos Energy Ltd. Trading At A 45 percent Discount |
Additional Tools for Kosmos Stock Analysis
When running Kosmos Energy's price analysis, check to measure Kosmos Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kosmos Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Kosmos Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kosmos Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kosmos Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kosmos Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.