Kosmos Energy Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

KOS Stock  USD 3.95  0.07  1.74%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your highly speculative risk level, our recommendation regarding Kosmos Energy is 'Strong Sell'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Kosmos Energy given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Kosmos Energy. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Kosmos Energy, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Kosmos Energy Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy Kosmos Stock please use our How to Invest in Kosmos Energy guide.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Kosmos and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Kosmos Energy. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons.

Execute Kosmos Energy Buy or Sell Advice

The Kosmos recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Kosmos Energy. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Kosmos Energy or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Kosmos Energy's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Kosmos EnergyBuy Kosmos Energy
Strong Sell

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Moderately volatileDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Responds to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

StrongDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Possible ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Kosmos Energy has a Mean Deviation of 2.8, Standard Deviation of 3.46 and Variance of 11.97
We provide investment recommendation to complement the last-minute expert consensus on Kosmos Energy. Our dynamic recommendation engine harnesses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the entity's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Kosmos Energy is not overpriced, please verify all Kosmos Energy fundamentals, including its current ratio, and the relationship between the ebitda and target price . Given that Kosmos Energy has a price to earning of 6.89 X, we recommend you to check Kosmos Energy market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your last-minute risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Kosmos Energy Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Kosmos Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Kosmos Energy has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Kosmos Energy has 2.39 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 2.58, meaning that the company heavily relies on borrowing funds for operations. Kosmos Energy has a current ratio of 0.91, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Kosmos to invest in growth at high rates of return.
Kosmos Energy has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 98.0% of Kosmos Energy shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Halliburton Announces Expansion in Namibia by Opening New Facilities

Kosmos Energy Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Kosmos Energy's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Kosmos Energy's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Kosmos Energy daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Kosmos Energy price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Kosmos Energy returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Kosmos Energy.
Mean Return
-0.24
Value At Risk
-6.18
Potential Upside
5.62
Standard Deviation
3.46
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Kosmos Energy historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Kosmos Stock Institutional Investors

The Kosmos Energy's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Kosmos Energy's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
Shares
Geode Capital Management, Llc2024-09-30
10.6 M
Patients Capital Management Llc2024-09-30
9.4 M
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-06-30
8.6 M
Mason Hill Asset Management Incet Al2024-09-30
8.2 M
Amvescap Plc.2024-06-30
7.7 M
Natixis Advisors, Llc.2024-06-30
M
Jennison Associates Llc2024-09-30
6.9 M
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-09-30
6.1 M
Acadian Asset Management Llc2024-06-30
6.1 M
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
47.4 M
Fmr Inc2024-09-30
31.2 M
Note, although Kosmos Energy's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Kosmos Energy Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory(29.0M)(23.2M)(14.6M)10.3M(45.7M)(43.4M)
Change In Cash43.7M(79.6M)25.1M11.9M(88.1M)(83.7M)
Free Cash Flow276.1M(183.4M)(563.7M)321.1M(167.4M)(175.8M)
Depreciation654.8M582.7M773.6M508.7M448.7M366.9M
Other Non Cash Items65.4M28.1M(216.5M)407.5M233.8M245.5M
Capital Expenditures352.0M379.6M938.0M809.4M932.6M629.0M
Net Income(55.8M)(411.6M)(77.8M)226.6M213.5M224.2M
End Period Cash Flow229.3M149.8M174.9M186.8M98.8M93.8M
Investments(26.9M)(65.1M)(973.4M)(703.9M)(994.9M)(945.1M)
Change Receivables176.0M(29.7M)92.1M(34.2M)(39.4M)(37.4M)
Net Borrowings175M44.1M514.4M(405M)(465.8M)(442.5M)
Change To Netincome89.1M105.8M41.8M244.6M220.1M231.1M

Kosmos Energy Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Kosmos Energy or Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Kosmos Energy's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Kosmos stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.39
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.15
σ
Overall volatility
3.51
Ir
Information ratio -0.11

Kosmos Energy Volatility Alert

Kosmos Energy exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.01 and kurtosis of -0.63. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Kosmos Energy's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Kosmos Energy's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Kosmos Energy Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Kosmos Energy's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Kosmos Energy's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Kosmos Energy and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Kosmos Energy or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Kosmos Energy's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Kosmos Energy by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Kosmos Energy to competition
FundamentalsKosmos EnergyPeer Average
Return On Equity0.2-0.31
Return On Asset0.0625-0.14
Profit Margin0.12 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.32 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation4.54 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding471.9 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders2.11 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions98.40 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted43.82 M4.71 M
Price To Earning6.89 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.58 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.04 X11.42 X
Revenue1.7 B9.43 B
Gross Profit1.84 B27.38 B
EBITDA898.66 M3.9 B
Net Income213.52 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents183.41 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.51 X5.01 X
Total Debt2.39 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity2.58 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.93 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share2.54 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations765.17 M971.22 M
Short Ratio5.93 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share0.45 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth(0.20) X4.89 X
Target Price6.84
Number Of Employees24318.84 K
Beta2.43-0.15
Market Capitalization1.86 B19.03 B
Total Asset4.94 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(1.27 B)9.33 B
Working Capital(132.12 M)1.48 B
Note: Acquisition by Jason Doughty of 106000 shares of Kosmos Energy subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Kosmos Energy Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Kosmos . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Kosmos Energy Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Kosmos Energy? Buying financial instruments such as Kosmos Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Kosmos Energy in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Consumer Goods Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Kosmos Stock Analysis

When running Kosmos Energy's price analysis, check to measure Kosmos Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kosmos Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Kosmos Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kosmos Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kosmos Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kosmos Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.