Kosmos Energy Stock Market Outlook

KOS Stock  USD 1.58  0.11  6.51%   
Slightly above 56% of Kosmos Energy's investor base is looking to short. The current sentiment of investing in Kosmos Energy suggests that many traders are alarmed. Kosmos Energy's investing sentiment can be driven by a variety of factors including economic data, Kosmos Energy's earnings reports, geopolitical events, and overall market trends.

Comfort Level 44

 Impartial

 
Panic
 
Confidence
Today, several news technology companies offer sentiment data to assist traders in manufacturing news sentiment indicators for investment decisions. We partner with these technology firms in helping retail investors build forecasting models that use Kosmos Energy's input sentiment indicators derived from textual data and news published on major financial information outlets and social sites. These indicators can be used to analyze time-dependent numerical information representing public perception toward Kosmos Energy.
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Kosmos Energy is 'Strong Sell'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Kosmos Energy given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Kosmos Energy, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.

Execute Kosmos Energy Advice

The Kosmos recommendation should be used to complement the investment advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Kosmos Energy. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Kosmos Energy or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Kosmos Energy's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Kosmos EnergyBuy Kosmos Energy
Strong Sell

Market Performance

SoftDetails

Volatility

Extremely DangerousDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

SmallDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

UnavailableDetails
For the selected time horizon Kosmos Energy has a Mean Deviation of 3.84, Semi Deviation of 3.81, Standard Deviation of 5.29, Variance of 27.97, Downside Variance of 17.26 and Semi Variance of 14.53
We provide investment recommendation to complement the last-minute expert consensus on Kosmos Energy. Our dynamic recommendation engine harnesses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the entity's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Kosmos Energy is not overpriced, please verify all Kosmos Energy fundamentals, including its current ratio, and the relationship between the ebitda and target price . Please also check out Kosmos Energy price to earning to check your buy or sell decision is consistent with all fundamental data available and that the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle.

Kosmos Energy Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Kosmos Energy had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Kosmos Energy may become a speculative penny stock
Kosmos Energy has 2.76 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 2.58, meaning that the company heavily relies on borrowing funds for operations. Kosmos Energy has a current ratio of 0.91, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Nevertheless, prudent borrowing could serve as an effective mechanism for Kosmos to finance growth opportunities yielding strong returns.
Over 92.0% of Kosmos Energy shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: FileCloud Completes SOC 2 Type 2 Audits, Reinforcing Enterprise Security Excellence

Kosmos Energy Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Kosmos Energy's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Kosmos Energy's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Kosmos Energy daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Kosmos Energy price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Kosmos Energy returns is essential to provide solid investment analysis for Kosmos Energy.
Mean Return
0.14
Value At Risk
-6.51
Potential Upside
10.75
Standard Deviation
5.29
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Kosmos Energy historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Kosmos Stock Institutional Investors

The Kosmos Energy's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Kosmos Energy's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
Shares
Citadel Advisors Llc2025-06-30
9.5 M
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2025-06-30
8.7 M
Ubs Group Ag2025-06-30
8.1 M
Bank Of America Corp2025-06-30
8.1 M
Millennium Management Llc2025-06-30
7.7 M
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2025-06-30
6.6 M
Bnp Paribas Investment Partners Sa2025-06-30
6.6 M
Acadian Asset Management Llc2025-06-30
6.5 M
M&g Plc2025-06-30
5.8 M
Blackrock Inc2025-06-30
68.2 M
Grantham, Mayo, Van Otterloo & Co., Llc2025-06-30
36.8 M
Note, although Kosmos Energy's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Kosmos Energy Cash Flow Accounts

202120222023202420252026 (projected)
Change To Inventory(14.6M)10.3M(45.7M)5.0M4.5M4.7M
Change In Cash25.1M11.9M(88.1M)(13.5M)(12.1M)(11.5M)
Free Cash Flow(563.7M)321.1M(167.4M)(255.4M)(293.7M)(308.4M)
Depreciation773.6M508.7M444.9M502.7M578.1M373.0M
Other Non Cash Items(216.5M)407.5M237.5M43.8M50.4M75.1M
Capital Expenditures938.0M809.4M932.6M933.7M1.1B653.9M
Net Income(77.8M)226.6M213.5M189.9M218.3M229.2M
End Period Cash Flow174.9M186.8M98.8M85.3M76.7M72.9M
Investments(973.4M)(703.9M)(994.9M)(966.1M)(869.5M)(826.0M)
Net Borrowings514.4M(405M)155M360.8M414.9M435.6M
Change To Netincome89.1M105.8M41.8M244.6M220.1M231.1M

Kosmos Energy Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Kosmos Energy or Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Kosmos Energy's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Kosmos stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.13
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.1
σ
Overall volatility
5.44
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

Kosmos Energy Volatility Alert

Kosmos Energy shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Kosmos Energy's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Kosmos Energy's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Kosmos Energy Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Kosmos Energy's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Kosmos Energy's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Kosmos Energy and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Kosmos Energy or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Kosmos Energy's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Kosmos Energy by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Kosmos Energy to competition
FundamentalsKosmos EnergyPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.31-0.31
Return On Asset-0.0147-0.14
Profit Margin(0.24) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.16) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation3.72 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding478.33 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders2.11 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions91.50 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted58.13 M4.71 M
Price To Earning6.89 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.90 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.54 X11.42 X
Revenue1.68 B9.43 B
Gross Profit681.42 M27.38 B
EBITDA894.42 M3.9 B
Net Income189.85 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents84.97 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.51 X5.01 X
Total Debt2.76 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity2.58 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.93 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share1.88 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations678.25 M971.22 M
Short Ratio2.63 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(0.65) X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth(0.20) X4.89 X
Target Price2.13
Number Of Employees24318.84 K
Beta0.89-0.15
Market Capitalization755.76 M19.03 B
Total Asset5.31 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(1.08 B)9.33 B
Working Capital(148.82 M)1.48 B
Note: Acquisition by Jason Doughty of 344647 shares of Kosmos Energy subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Kosmos Energy Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Kosmos . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Kosmos Energy Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Kosmos Energy? Buying financial instruments such as Kosmos Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Kosmos Energy in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Plastics Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Kosmos Stock Analysis

When running Kosmos Energy's price analysis, check to measure Kosmos Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kosmos Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Kosmos Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kosmos Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kosmos Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kosmos Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.