Kosmos Energy Stock Price Prediction
| KOS Stock | USD 0.89 0.02 2.20% |
Momentum 24
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Kosmos Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Kosmos Energy from the perspective of Kosmos Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Kosmos Energy to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Kosmos because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Kosmos Energy after-hype prediction price | USD 1.02 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Kosmos Energy Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Kosmos Energy After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Kosmos Energy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Kosmos Energy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Kosmos Energy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Kosmos Energy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Kosmos Energy's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Kosmos Energy's historical news coverage. Kosmos Energy's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.05 and 4.88, respectively. We have considered Kosmos Energy's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Kosmos Energy is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Kosmos Energy is based on 3 months time horizon.
Kosmos Energy Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Kosmos Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Kosmos Energy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Kosmos Energy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.12 | 3.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.89 | 1.02 | 14.61 |
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Kosmos Energy Hype Timeline
On the 3rd of January Kosmos Energy is traded for 0.89. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Kosmos is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 1.02 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price appreciation on the next news is projected to be 14.61%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -1.12%. The volatility of related hype on Kosmos Energy is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.89. Kosmos Energy has 2.76 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 2.58, meaning that the company heavily relies on borrowing funds for operations. Kosmos Energy has a current ratio of 0.91, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Kosmos to invest in growth at high rates of return. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be uncertain. Check out Kosmos Energy Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Kosmos Energy Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Kosmos Energy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Kosmos Energy's future price movements. Getting to know how Kosmos Energy's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Kosmos Energy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TXO | MorningStar Partners LP | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.34) | 2.01 | (2.72) | 7.22 | |
| NGL | NGL Energy Partners | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.56 | 0.19 | 4.80 | (2.85) | 31.57 | |
| GRNT | Granite Ridge Resources | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 3.11 | (4.28) | 9.14 | |
| PDS | Precision Drilling | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.79 | 0.18 | 2.93 | (2.63) | 7.44 | |
| CAPL | Crossamerica Partners LP | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.01 | 0 | 1.86 | (1.85) | 4.92 | |
| VTLE | Vital Energy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.03 | 0.01 | 6.28 | (5.94) | 14.48 | |
| VTS | Vitesse Energy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 2.43 | (2.74) | 6.43 | |
| HPK | Highpeak Energy Acquisition | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 5.33 | (7.06) | 21.96 | |
| TEN-PE | Tsakos Energy Navigation | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.32 | (0.1) | 0.58 | (0.68) | 1.98 | |
| REPX | Riley Exploration Permian | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.08 | (0.03) | 4.58 | (3.27) | 10.71 |
Kosmos Energy Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Kosmos price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Kosmos using various technical indicators. When you analyze Kosmos charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Kosmos Energy Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Kosmos Energy stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Kosmos Energy, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Kosmos Energy based on analysis of Kosmos Energy hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Kosmos Energy's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Kosmos Energy's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Kosmos Energy
The number of cover stories for Kosmos Energy depends on current market conditions and Kosmos Energy's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Kosmos Energy is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Kosmos Energy's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Kosmos Energy Short Properties
Kosmos Energy's future price predictability will typically decrease when Kosmos Energy's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Kosmos Energy often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Kosmos Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kosmos Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 476.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 85 M |
Additional Tools for Kosmos Stock Analysis
When running Kosmos Energy's price analysis, check to measure Kosmos Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kosmos Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Kosmos Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kosmos Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kosmos Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kosmos Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.