Kina Securities (Australia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1.05

KSL Stock   1.05  0.01  0.94%   
Kina Securities' future price is the expected price of Kina Securities instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Kina Securities performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Kina Securities Backtesting, Kina Securities Valuation, Kina Securities Correlation, Kina Securities Hype Analysis, Kina Securities Volatility, Kina Securities History as well as Kina Securities Performance.
  
Please specify Kina Securities' target price for which you would like Kina Securities odds to be computed.

Kina Securities Target Price Odds to finish over 1.05

The tendency of Kina Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 1.05 90 days 1.05 
about 8.44
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kina Securities to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 8.44 (This Kina Securities probability density function shows the probability of Kina Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Kina Securities has a beta of -0.0334. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Kina Securities are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Kina Securities is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Kina Securities has an alpha of 0.0827, implying that it can generate a 0.0827 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Kina Securities Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Kina Securities

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kina Securities. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.051.062.78
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.040.882.60
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.021.092.81
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.090.090.09
Details

Kina Securities Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kina Securities is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kina Securities' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kina Securities, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kina Securities within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.03
σ
Overall volatility
0.02
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Kina Securities Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kina Securities for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kina Securities can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Kina Securities has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
About 12.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Kina Securities Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Kina Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Kina Securities' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kina Securities' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding289.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.7 B

Kina Securities Technical Analysis

Kina Securities' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kina Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kina Securities. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kina Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Kina Securities Predictive Forecast Models

Kina Securities' time-series forecasting models is one of many Kina Securities' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kina Securities' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Kina Securities

Checking the ongoing alerts about Kina Securities for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Kina Securities help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Kina Securities has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
About 12.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Additional Tools for Kina Stock Analysis

When running Kina Securities' price analysis, check to measure Kina Securities' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kina Securities is operating at the current time. Most of Kina Securities' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kina Securities' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kina Securities' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kina Securities to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.